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Housing Affordability Crisis In Cyprus: Policy Reforms And Economic Implications

At the 4th Akel Economy Forum in Nicosia, leading policymakers and industry experts issued a decisive call for comprehensive reforms to address the mounting housing affordability crisis in Cyprus and across the European Union. Conversations centered on introducing tighter controls over property purchases by third-country nationals, accelerating licensing processes, and establishing a unified housing authority to ensure balanced market practices.

Addressing Housing Vulnerabilities

Discussions, framed under the theme ‘Mass Real Estate Purchase And Housing Crisis: Right Or Privilege?’, featured contributions from figures such as Akel MP Aristos Damianou, MEP Ilaria Salis, Constantinos Constanti of the Scientific And Technical Chamber (Etek), and Stelios Gavriil, President Of The Association Of Building Contractors (Oseok). Their analysis revealed that both national and European initiatives have thus far fallen short in arresting the relentless climb in property prices and rents, systematically excluding low- and middle-income households from the market.

EU Policy And The Role Of Brussels

MEP Ilaria Salis observed that the demand pressures in Cyprus echo challenges seen in major Italian cities and other EU locales. She noted that while Brussels is poised to unveil an action plan by mid-December, there has been minimal consultation with the European Parliament—a gap that could undermine the robustness of future housing legislation. Salis warned that existing EU policies overly favor private interests, offering little support for rent regulation or the development of public and social housing.

Strategic Shifts In Housing Policy

Advocating for a paradigm shift, Salis emphasized the need to reconceptualize housing as a social right and curb the allure of disproportionate profits. She proposed policy measures that include:

  • Implementing democratic and collective contracts that incorporate rent caps linked to income, ensuring housing costs do not exceed 30 percent of monthly earnings.
  • Enforcing limits on short-term rentals to promote long-term affordability.
  • Commencing sizable investments in public and social housing, with urban renewal projects featuring a mandated percentage of non-market units, partly funded by European resources.
  • Institutionalizing citizen participation via community associations to directly shape housing policy, alongside establishing EU-wide standards to shield households from eviction.

Local Initiatives And Broader Economic Impact

Local governmental bodies also offered targeted proposals, ranging from restricting property sales to third-country nationals and repurposing vacant units, to streamlining planning permits. Etek introduced fiscal incentives such as reducing VAT to 5 percent for renovation projects, reforming the ‘renovate-to-rent’ scheme, and taxing idle land to incentivize development.

MP Aristos Damianou highlighted that Akel’s comprehensive housing policy package, currently embodied in two newly proposed bills, aims to enhance access to affordable housing as the government transitions away from unsustainable models like the now-defunct golden passport scheme. He argued that an open economy naturally recalibrates in response to emerging market opportunities, setting the stage for more socially balanced development.

A Decade Of Strategic Change

Industry leader Stelios Gavriil underscored the necessity of refining existing housing schemes to broaden beneficiary eligibility. He urged that financial institutions ease the path for young couples—especially regarding down-payment requirements for bank loans—and called for a forward-looking, ten-year national housing strategy.

In summary, the forum underscored the urgency for both local and EU-wide reforms, positioning housing not merely as a commodity but as an essential social right. As policymakers and market leaders align on these initiatives, the evolving landscape may well offer a blueprint for resolving the housing crises confronting many modern economies.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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