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Honda And Nissan End Merger Talks, But Leave Room For Future Collaboration

Japanese automakers Honda and Nissan have officially ended talks regarding a potential merger, according to a joint statement from both companies. While their merger discussions have come to a halt, the companies have left open the possibility for future collaboration, particularly in the field of smart and electric vehicles.

Key Details Of The Termination

The proposed merger would have formed the world’s third-largest car manufacturer with a market value exceeding $60 billion. However, the talks were abandoned after Honda’s desire to make Nissan a subsidiary clashed with the initial plan of creating an equal partnership. This divergence in strategy led to the breakdown of discussions.

Nissan’s official statement explained that both companies concluded it would be best to terminate the discussions to focus on speedy decision-making in the increasingly volatile market, especially with the ongoing shift toward electrification. Instead of merging, the companies agreed to pursue a strategic partnership going forward.

The Background Of The Merger Proposal

The potential merger, first reported by Nikkei in December 2024, aimed to combine Honda, Japan’s second-largest carmaker, with Nissan, the third-largest. This deal was seen as a necessary step to challenge growing competition from Chinese automakers like BYD. The merger discussions were expected to conclude by June 2025, but delays and disagreements over key issues, including the distribution of control, ultimately led to their termination.

The two companies initially set a decision deadline for the end of January, but it was pushed to mid-February before the talks ended.

Nissan’s Financial Struggles

Nissan has been facing significant challenges, particularly in the shift to electric vehicles. The company is still recovering from a crisis sparked by Carlos Ghosn’s arrest in 2018, which led to a leadership vacuum and financial instability. As part of its recovery strategy, Nissan plans to cut 9,000 jobs and reduce its production capacity by 20%.

Analysts were skeptical about the merger from the start, speculating that Nissan’s financial difficulties may have pushed it to seek outside help.

A Stark Disparity: Market Capitalization

An important factor in the merger talks was the significant disparity between the two companies’ market capitalizations. Honda’s market value is approximately five times larger than Nissan’s, standing at 7.92 trillion yen ($51.90 billion) compared to Nissan’s 1.44 trillion yen.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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