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High Occupancy Rates for Cyprus Restaurants in October; Winter Decline Anticipated

Restaurants, cafes, and bars in Cyprus experienced a strong October, with occupancy levels reaching 80 to 90 per cent, according to Neophytos Thrasyvoulou, president of the Federation of Leisure Centre Owners (Osika). He described October as a “very successful month” for the food service industry.

However, with winter approaching, Thrasyvoulou acknowledged potential challenges, especially with the impact of regional instability. “Visitor numbers have seen a slight drop in recent days,” he noted, though he hopes that occupancy levels will remain steady until mid-November. By early November, Thrasyvoulou expects visitor occupancy to hover around 50 to 60 per cent, after which the responsibility will lie with businesses to keep operating, with support from the Labour Ministry’s programme to extend the tourism season.

Reflecting on the earlier summer months of June and July, Thrasyvoulou highlighted that visitor numbers were initially lower than expected, largely due to Middle East tensions. The trend eventually improved, leading to a stronger second half of the season.

Despite rising costs, Thrasyvoulou urged business owners to maintain affordable pricing, aiming to keep dining accessible for both locals and tourists amid economic pressures.

S&P Affirms Cyprus At A- With Positive Outlook

S&P Global Ratings confirmed Cyprus’s sovereign rating at A- with a positive outlook on March 20, 2026, according to the Ministry of Finance. This decision reflects stable economic performance despite ongoing external pressures, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Steady Economic Growth Amid Geopolitical Pressures

S&P expects economic growth to continue at around 3%, slightly lower than in previous years but still above the pace seen in many European economies. Fiscal surpluses are also expected to continue, supporting overall stability.

Robust Debt Management And Fiscal Discipline

Public debt has declined in recent years, supported by strong fiscal performance and higher service exports. Improvements in the banking sector, including lower non-performing loans and stable credit growth, have also contributed to a stronger economic position.

Impact Of The Middle East Conflict

Conflict in the Middle East remains the main external risk. However, the positive outlook indicates that Cyprus is considered capable of managing potential shocks. Future rating changes will depend on public finances, economic performance and foreign investment flows.

Government Policy And Economic Management

According to the Ministry of Finance, the rating reflects continued fiscal discipline and economic management. Recent performance has been supported by the handling of earlier shocks, including the pandemic and the impact of the war in Ukraine.

Industry And Sectoral Insights

S&P noted that key sectors remain stable, despite potential pressure from tourism and energy costs. In particular, the banking sector continues to show strong profitability, capital levels and liquidity.

Energy Security And Future Prospects

Energy remains a key challenge, with costs among the highest in the EU. Plans to develop LNG infrastructure and explore natural gas resources are expected to support supply in the medium term.  Regional energy projects continue to face geopolitical constraints.

Outlook

S&P expects GDP growth to average around 2.8% between 2026 and 2029, while public debt is projected to decline further. Finance Minister Makis Keravnos said the rating confirms the government’s economic policy and supports Cyprus’s position as a stable European economy.

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