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Greek Systemic Banks Forecast Robust Profitability and Strategic Dividend Payouts

Strong Q2 Performance Sets the Stage

Greece’s four systemic banks continue to deliver impressive profitability, with forecasts projecting total earnings to reach approximately €4.7 billion by the end of 2025. This performance is bolstered by sustained credit activity and a full-year net credit expansion estimate of €13 billion or more.

Sustained Credit Growth and Lending Dynamics

Analysts note that the banks’ robust credit operations are a key driver of this fiscal strength. Business lending is expanding rapidly, fueled by broader economic growth and significant disbursements from the Recovery and Resilience Facility. However, mortgage lending remains subdued, constrained by high property costs and limited household incomes. Eurobank’s foreign loan portfolio, in particular, has been a major contributor to overall performance, while domestic mortgage credit continues to stagnate.

Strategic Dividend Distribution

In line with international practices, all four banks—Piraeus, Eurobank, National Bank of Greece (NBG), and Alpha Bank—have approved interim cash dividend payouts. These distributions, ranging from 10% to 20% of net profits with yields between 1.2% and 2.4%, reflect a return to stability and instill confidence in the sector. NBG leads the field with a €260 million payout, both in absolute terms and as a 20% share of profits, while Piraeus Bank opts for a more conservative 10% allocation. Although share buyback programs are on hold due to elevated stock valuations, several institutions are poised to resume them in the future. Notably, NBG has also signaled the potential for a final dividend payout exceeding 60% of annual earnings.

Resilient Interest Income and Capitalisation

Resilience in net interest income, driven by strong lending volumes and a predominance of low-yield savings and current deposits, underscores the banks’ performance. With 80% of Greek retail savings deposits held in NBG’s portfolio, the banks are well-positioned to weather market fluctuations. Despite anticipating a rate cut in September, industry experts do not expect interest rates to drop below 1.5%, which supports steady income flows and reinforces profitability forecasts.

Future Strategies and Mergers & Acquisitions

Each bank is pursuing distinct strategic pathways in the mergers and acquisitions landscape. NBG is actively exploring strategic acquisition opportunities, Alpha Bank is focused on pursuing investments with a minimum 15% return on investment that boost both capital and earnings per share without impacting dividend policy, and Eurobank is scouting for consolidation prospects outside Greece, particularly in Bulgaria’s evolving banking market. Piraeus Bank is dedicated to finalizing its national insurance process and closing a Danish settlement anticipated to strengthen its capital base.

Conclusion

The sustained interest income and strategic initiatives underpinning these banks provide a robust foundation for their optimistic 2025 outlook. With diversified approaches to lending, dividend distribution, and capital management, these institutions are set to navigate the evolving market landscape and reinforce their positions as pillars of the Greek banking sector.

Limassol Port Electrification Awaits Grid Connection And EU Funding

Plans to equip Limassol port with shore-side electricity are advancing at the technical level, but unresolved administrative procedures, a pending grid connection and the need to secure European funding continue to delay implementation.

The proposed shore-power system, also known as cold ironing, would allow vessels to connect to electricity while berthed, reducing reliance on onboard engines and cutting emissions and noise in the surrounding area.

Technical Studies Near Completion

Transport Minister Evi Tsolaki said work is progressing through the EU-backed DecarbonLim programme, which is preparing the technical assessment and feasibility study required before construction can begin. The ministry is seeking regular updates from the Cyprus Ports Authority on the studies’ completion timetable.

The initiative also involves Frederick University, Eurogate Container Terminal Limassol, DP World Limassol, the Electricity Authority of Cyprus, the Cyprus Transmission System Operator and Limassol Municipality.

Grid Connection Remains A Key Hurdle

Despite progress on the studies, construction cannot proceed until the project secures a connection to the national transmission network.

Tsolaki said the ministry has requested land from the Department of Lands and Surveys for an electricity substation. Once the site is allocated, the relevant applications can be submitted to the Cyprus Transmission System Operator to advance the grid-connection process.

Until these steps are completed, the project will remain in the preparatory phase, even if the technical studies are finalised.

European Funding Adds Urgency

The feasibility work under DecarbonLim will support an application for construction financing, Tsolaki said. A competitive European funding call is currently open, and the ministry intends to submit an application within the required timeframe.

The funding window has raised concerns in parliament. MP Fotini Tsiridou warned that further delays could undermine Cyprus’ chances of securing EU support, noting that similar port electrification projects elsewhere in the bloc have already received funding.

Speaking to Entrepreneurial Limassol, published by the Limassol Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Tsiridou said she had observed some progress but had yet to receive a formal response to her parliamentary question.

Environmental And Commercial Benefits

Tsiridou argued that shore-side electricity would deliver benefits beyond emissions reductions, including less noise and air pollution for residents near the port.

“Our port should not be disconnected from the rest of the city,” she said, describing shore-power infrastructure as both a necessity and a European obligation.

Across Europe, port electrification is increasingly linked to environmental performance and competitiveness. By allowing compatible vessels to switch off auxiliary engines while docked, shore-power systems can reduce local emissions and noise while supporting wider decarbonisation goals.

Construction Timetable Still Unclear

The Cyprus Ports Authority signed a contract with DBA S.p.A. in July 2025 for a comprehensive study of the system’s technical, economic and environmental requirements. The work was intended to establish the basis for installation and identify any necessary port infrastructure upgrades.

More than a year later, key steps concerning land allocation, grid connection and financing remain unresolved. No timetable has been announced for completing these procedures or submitting the final funding application.

Limassol’s shore-power project therefore remains between planning and implementation. Its next milestones are securing the substation site, progressing the transmission-network application and obtaining construction financing. Until these are in place, the port’s transition to shore-side electricity cannot move into the construction phase.

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