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Greek Feta Producers Scramble For Strategy After U.S. Tariffs Threaten Exports

A cooperative of 1,200 stock breeders in southern Greece had one clear goal for this year: breaking into the U.S. market with their renowned feta cheese. This ambitious expansion plan, however, now hangs in the balance after President Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on most imported goods, including dairy products from the European Union.

In 2019, Greece successfully negotiated an exemption for feta from U.S. tariffs, but that reprieve is now a distant memory. Trump’s new tariff regime also includes a 20% reciprocal levy on European goods, including feta, leaving Greek producers with mounting concerns over the future of their exports.

“We’re uncertain how much of this tariff will be passed on to consumers. It’s a gamble,” said Konstantinos Latsis, the cooperative’s general manager, speaking from inside the dairy’s cold room where 6,000 barrels of feta are aging in brine. The cooperative produces around 5,000 tonnes of barrel-aged feta annually, which it supplies to the Greek market, but it’s eyeing the U.S. as a critical growth opportunity.

Greece, a country with over 6,000 years of feta-making tradition, produced 140,000 tonnes of the iconic cheese last year, valued at €800 million. Approximately 8% of that production was exported to the U.S.—a market where demand for Greek feta has surged, doubling over the past four years. But now, with the looming tariffs, Greek exporters are preparing for a sharp decline in U.S. sales.

“I’m afraid the tariffs will significantly reduce feta exports to the U.S.,” said Christos Apostolopoulos, head of Greece’s dairy industry association. “We’ll have to rethink our strategy and focus on diversifying into other markets.”

Despite the uncertainty, Latsis remains cautiously optimistic. “Even with the tariffs, the U.S. market is too large to ignore,” he said. “We’ll continue to work on our presence there, adapting as we go.”

For now, Greek feta producers face an uphill battle. The question remains: Can the country’s prized cheese find a way through the tariff maze, or will it be forced to shift focus to other markets? The coming months will be pivotal for the future of Greece’s feta exports to the U.S.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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