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Greece Outperforms Fiscal Expectations With €1.96 Billion State Budget Surplus

Surplus Surpasses Projections

Greece has reported a state budget surplus of €1.96 billion for the January–August 2025 period, a significant departure from the projected €1.38 billion deficit. This robust performance also improves upon the €1.04 billion surplus recorded during the corresponding period in 2024.

Robust Primary Balance Performance

The nation’s primary balance, calculated on a modified cash basis, reached a surplus of €8.50 billion—well above the target of €4.93 billion and surpassing the previous period’s €7.57 billion. Factoring in the timing adjustments for transfer payments of €1.90 billion and defense programme payments of €540 million, which do not impact the general government outcome on a fiscal basis, the primary balance exceeded expectations by an estimated €793 million.

Stronger Than Anticipated Revenues

Total net revenues for January–August 2025 climbed to €48.46 billion, marginally above budget expectations by €184 million (0.4%). Notably, tax revenues reached €46.52 billion, a 4.6% surplus in collection largely driven by higher-than-expected income taxes, VAT, and excise duties. VAT receipts totaled €18.19 billion, excise duties €4.86 billion, while property and income taxes contributed €1.98 billion and €17.31 billion respectively, with personal income taxes exceeding targets by €828 million.

Expenditure And Investment Insights

State budget expenditure for the period amounted to €46.49 billion, marking a reduction of €3.16 billion from budget targets, though €2.41 billion higher than the same period last year. Key allocations included €897 million for hospitals and healthcare, €400 million for universal electricity service costs, and substantial investments in transport services and higher education.

Public investment payments reached €7.04 billion, showing an increase of €491 million over the previous year despite being slightly below target figures.

Conclusion

The Greek government’s fiscal performance during this period underscores a disciplined approach to budget management, with revenue collections and primary balance performance exceeding expectations. This achievement not only highlights sound fiscal policies but also reinforces market confidence as Greece navigates its economic strategy amidst evolving fiscal challenges and opportunities.

OpenAI Releases GDPval Benchmark To Gauge AI Performance Against Human Experts

New Benchmark Sheds Light on AI’s Capabilities

OpenAI has unveiled GDPval, a new benchmark designed to evaluate its AI models against human professionals across a broad spectrum of industries. This initiative represents a critical step in understanding how far today’s AI is from matching or surpassing the work quality of experts in sectors such as healthcare, finance, manufacturing, and government.

Methodology and Industry Scope

The GDPval benchmark focuses on nine major industries contributing to America’s gross domestic product and tests AI performance in 44 distinct occupations—from software engineering to nursing and journalism. In its initial version, GDPval-v0, industry professionals compared reports generated by AI models with those produced by their human counterparts. For instance, investment bankers were tasked with evaluating competitor landscape analyses for the last-mile delivery industry, ensuring that the assessment reflects real-world complexity.

Comparative Performance: AI Advances and Limitations

Results indicate promising progress; OpenAI’s GPT-5-high, an enhanced iteration of its flagship model, achieved a win rate of 40.6% when compared head-to-head with industry veterans. More notably, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.1 reached nearly 49% on similar criteria. However, OpenAI acknowledges that these models are not yet positioned to replace human labor entirely, as the current iteration of GDPval covers a narrow slice of actual job responsibilities.

Expert Insights and Future Directions

In a discussion with TechCrunch, OpenAI’s chief economist, Dr. Aaron Chatterji, noted that the benchmark’s favorable outcomes suggest professionals may soon delegate routine tasks to AI. This, he argued, will free up valuable time for focusing on higher-impact work. Industry observer Tejal Patwardhan also expressed optimism, emphasizing the significant performance leap from GPT-4’s 13.7% score to nearly triple that figure with GPT-5.

Benchmarking And The Road To Comprehensive AI Evaluation

While GDPval represents an early milestone, it aligns with a broader effort among Silicon Valley titans to create robust testing frameworks, such as AIME 2025 and GPQA Diamond, that better quantify AI proficiency for real-world applications. OpenAI plans to expand GDPval to encapsulate more industries and interactive workflows, aiming to bolster its claims about AI’s growing economic value.

As the benchmark evolves, GDPval could play an instrumental role in the ongoing debate around artificial general intelligence, highlighting the potential and limitations of AI models poised to reshape the modern workforce.

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