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Greece: Investments Reach 15% Of GDP

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

Investments in Greece grew by 2.2% annually from January to September 2024, as reported by Alpha Bank’s economic bulletin. This increase is moderate compared to the 2025 budget estimate of 6.7% growth for the entire year.

Despite the moderate increase in 2024, investments have consistently contributed positively to Greece’s GDP in recent years, now accounting for approximately 15% of GDP (since the end of 2023). This is notably lower than the average 22% of GDP in the eurozone.

The bank’s economists estimate that the government’s forecasted 8.4% increase in investments in 2025 could push the share of investments to 17.5% of GDP, narrowing the “investment gap” compared to the eurozone forecast of 20.8%.

Key Numbers:

  • Annual investment growth (January-September 2024): 2.2%.
  • Investments as a percentage of GDP: 15% in Greece, compared to 22% in the eurozone.
  • Projected public investments (2025-2028): €64.2 billion.
  • Foreign direct investment: Exceeds €5 billion annually on average in the last five years.

Key Sectors:

  • Industry: Investments in the industry have been growing continuously since 2018, reaching €5.4 billion in 2023.
  • Public Administration & Defense: Exceeded €5.3 billion in 2023.
  • Real Estate: Investments reached €5 billion in 2023.

More than half of total investments are concentrated in these three sectors, while sectors such as Transport & Storage, Education, and Professional Services have seen a decline.

Significant changes have occurred in the composition of investments since the pre-crisis period, when housing represented over 40% of total investments and approximately 10% of GDP. In 2024, it is estimated that housing will represent 14.3% of total investments and 2.3% of GDP.

Public investments are expected to play a crucial role in the medium term, with €64.2 billion projected for the 2025-2028 period. This includes investments from the EU and the Recovery Fund, with €9.8 billion expected from the Recovery Fund in 2025 and €11.6 billion in 2026. Recovery Fund grants are expected to end by mid-2026, although loan disbursements will continue until 2027-2028.

Foreign direct investment has shown promising growth in recent years, with an average of over €5 billion per year (excluding 2020). A recent survey revealed that 50% of respondents plan to expand or develop activities in Greece in the coming year, compared to 30% in 2019.

Greece was ranked 19th among the most attractive EU countries for foreign investment in 2024. This ranking highlights the intensifying competition and underscores the need for further improvements to the country’s investment environment.

Dell’s Earnings Beat Puts The AI Trade To The Test

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

Dell Technologies has become a key stock to watch after its latest earnings report strengthened the case for continued AI infrastructure spending but failed to trigger a sustained rally.

Shares jumped more than 13% after Tuesday’s opening bell before giving back much of the gain. By late morning Wednesday, the stock was up about 5%, raising questions about whether strong AI-related earnings are still enough to drive higher valuations.

Strong Results Meet A More Skeptical Market

The reaction echoes last week’s trading in Nvidia. Its shares climbed nearly 9% after strong quarterly results and a stronger long-term outlook, only to surrender much of the advance in subsequent sessions.

That pattern has encouraged some investors to reduce exposure to AI stocks. Strong results remain evident, but markets appear less willing to reward them with sustained valuation expansion.

Dell Raises 2027 Earnings Outlook

Three months ago, Dell shares surged almost 33% after the company raised its fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings-per-share guidance by 39%. Analysts followed by lifting their own estimates, while the stock retained most of its gains.

This time, Dell raised fiscal 2027 earnings guidance to $25.50 from $17.90, an increase of about 42.5%. Street consensus rose nearly 29% overnight, yet the stock was up only about 5% in Wednesday trading.

The weaker share-price reaction suggests investors are applying a more cautious valuation to Dell than they did in May.

AI Exposure Faces Greater Caution

We have been raising cash for the Club as the AI trade has become more volatile and less predictable. Tuesday’s decision to exit Corning increased our cash position to about 15%.

If capital is redeployed, it would likely favor more defensive areas outside AI. That reflects greater caution over valuations and positioning rather than a rejection of the AI investment theme.

Dell’s Trading Could Set The Tone

A further rise in Dell shares would suggest investors remain willing to increase AI exposure, while a flat performance would point to greater valuation discipline. A decline could indicate that much of the earnings upside is already priced in.

Dell’s report, along with Broadcom’s results due Wednesday evening, could still improve sentiment across the group. If investors continue to discount strong AI earnings, however, the case for a more defensive approach will strengthen.

For now, Dell offers a real-time test of whether strong AI-related earnings can continue to drive valuations higher as investor caution increases.

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