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Government Fiscal Performance Q3 2025: Surplus Decline Amid Revenue Gains and Elevated Spending

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 26, 2026

Fiscal Surplus Contraction in Q3 2025

Preliminary fiscal data for the period July–September 2025 indicate that the general government recorded a surplus of €653.6 million, a decline from the €871.0 million surplus achieved in the corresponding quarter of 2024. Detailed analysis from the Pleonasma series and related commentary on fiscal outcomes underscores the evolving economic landscape.

Revenue Enhancements

Total revenues for Q3 2025 increased by €104.2 million (+2.6%), reaching €4,099.0 million from €3,994.8 million in Q3 2024. Social contributions demonstrated robust growth, rising by €62.5 million (+5.7%) to €1,151.2 million from €1,088.7 million during the same period last year.

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Revenue gains were also observed in personal income and wealth taxation, which grew by €10.9 million (+0.8%) to €1,299.3 million compared to €1,288.4 million. Taxes on production and imports increased by €7.1 million (+0.6%), totaling €1,264.3 million; notably, net VAT revenue (after reimbursements) saw an encouraging rise of €40.2 million (+4.8%) to €886.4 million.

Other revenue segments, including receivables from property income, capital transfers, and goods and services provided, also registered modest improvements. Property income receivables climbed by €3.0 million (+13.5%), while capital transfers surged by €6.0 million to €10.8 million. Revenues from goods and services increased by €15.1 million (+6.1%) to €260.9 million. Conversely, current transfers experienced a slight contraction, decreasing by €0.4 million (-0.5%) to €87.2 million.

Escalating Expenditures

Total expenditures during the period advanced by €321.5 million (+10.3%), reaching €3,445.3 million versus €3,123.8 million in Q3 2024. Social benefits were the primary driver, with an increase of €97.8 million (+7.9%) to €1,334.6 million compared to €1,236.8 million previously.

Employee compensation—which encompasses statutory social contributions and public employee pensions—rose by €50.5 million (+5.6%), culminating at €955.6 million, up from €905.1 million. Intermediate consumption saw a moderate uptick of €4.5 million (+1.2%) to €382.0 million.

Notably, the capital account expenditures surged by €223.7 million (+84.2%) to €489.3 million, which includes €321.0 million in capital investments and €168.3 million in capital transfers, compared with €265.6 million the previous year. In contrast, payable property income contracted by €26.1 million (-25.7%) to €75.3 million, and other current expenditures fell by €16.1 million (-8.6%) to €171.2 million. Furthermore, subsidies experienced a marked reduction, dropping by €12.6 million (-25.3%) to €37.3 million from €49.9 million.

Implications for Policy and Economic Stability

The evolving fiscal indicators highlight the complex balance between revenue enhancements and growing expenditures amid changing economic conditions. The data, meticulously compiled and reported by the national statistical authority, point to significant challenges and opportunities for policymakers tasked with sustaining long-term fiscal stability.

Outlook

The detailed disaggregation of revenue and expenditure items is critical for informed decision-making in the public sector. As governments navigate the interplay of rising social contributions, evolving tax bases, and shifting capital investments, the Q3 2025 fiscal performance offers pivotal insights into the broader economic trajectory and the future direction of public finance management.

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Google Cloud Outage Disrupts Banking And Digital Services Across The UK

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

October 20, 2026

A power outage at a Google Cloud data centre near London disrupted services across the UK on Tuesday, affecting banks, businesses and other digital platforms. Google said the incident was caused by a power event at its cloud operations, with full recovery expected by around 1300 GMT.

The disruption began at 0608 GMT and affected Google Cloud services in the europe-west2 region, which is hosted in London. In an initial update, the company reported elevated error rates and intermittent network failures across multiple services as engineers worked to restore operations.

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Banking Services Hit By The Disruption

Revolut was among the most visibly affected companies, with customers reporting problems with ATM withdrawals, bank transfers and card top-ups. A source close to the matter linked the issues to the Google Cloud outage.

Traditional banks also reported disruptions. Lloyds said some customers were experiencing problems with its app and online banking, while HSBC confirmed difficulties accessing its services. HSBC added that it was monitoring the situation and noted that other organisations were affected as well.

Disruption Spreads Beyond Finance

Downdetector, which tracks online service disruptions, recorded hundreds of reports involving other businesses, including property website Rightmove and the Royal Mail postal service. The reports suggested that the outage was affecting multiple parts of the UK’s digital economy.

The incident highlights the risks facing businesses that depend on shared cloud infrastructure. Even a temporary failure at a single provider can disrupt services across several sectors, from banking and payments to logistics and consumer platforms.

Companies Reassure Customers

Revolut said it had been working to resolve the issue since it was identified and apologised to affected customers. The company also confirmed that customers’ money and data remained safe.

As cloud platforms underpin an increasing share of digital commerce, the outage illustrates how disruptions to critical infrastructure can spread far beyond the provider itself, affecting businesses and customers across the economy.