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Government Fiscal Performance Q3 2025: Surplus Decline Amid Revenue Gains and Elevated Spending

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 26, 2026

Fiscal Surplus Contraction in Q3 2025

Preliminary fiscal data for the period July–September 2025 indicate that the general government recorded a surplus of €653.6 million, a decline from the €871.0 million surplus achieved in the corresponding quarter of 2024. Detailed analysis from the Pleonasma series and related commentary on fiscal outcomes underscores the evolving economic landscape.

Revenue Enhancements

Total revenues for Q3 2025 increased by €104.2 million (+2.6%), reaching €4,099.0 million from €3,994.8 million in Q3 2024. Social contributions demonstrated robust growth, rising by €62.5 million (+5.7%) to €1,151.2 million from €1,088.7 million during the same period last year.

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Revenue gains were also observed in personal income and wealth taxation, which grew by €10.9 million (+0.8%) to €1,299.3 million compared to €1,288.4 million. Taxes on production and imports increased by €7.1 million (+0.6%), totaling €1,264.3 million; notably, net VAT revenue (after reimbursements) saw an encouraging rise of €40.2 million (+4.8%) to €886.4 million.

Other revenue segments, including receivables from property income, capital transfers, and goods and services provided, also registered modest improvements. Property income receivables climbed by €3.0 million (+13.5%), while capital transfers surged by €6.0 million to €10.8 million. Revenues from goods and services increased by €15.1 million (+6.1%) to €260.9 million. Conversely, current transfers experienced a slight contraction, decreasing by €0.4 million (-0.5%) to €87.2 million.

Escalating Expenditures

Total expenditures during the period advanced by €321.5 million (+10.3%), reaching €3,445.3 million versus €3,123.8 million in Q3 2024. Social benefits were the primary driver, with an increase of €97.8 million (+7.9%) to €1,334.6 million compared to €1,236.8 million previously.

Employee compensation—which encompasses statutory social contributions and public employee pensions—rose by €50.5 million (+5.6%), culminating at €955.6 million, up from €905.1 million. Intermediate consumption saw a moderate uptick of €4.5 million (+1.2%) to €382.0 million.

Notably, the capital account expenditures surged by €223.7 million (+84.2%) to €489.3 million, which includes €321.0 million in capital investments and €168.3 million in capital transfers, compared with €265.6 million the previous year. In contrast, payable property income contracted by €26.1 million (-25.7%) to €75.3 million, and other current expenditures fell by €16.1 million (-8.6%) to €171.2 million. Furthermore, subsidies experienced a marked reduction, dropping by €12.6 million (-25.3%) to €37.3 million from €49.9 million.

Implications for Policy and Economic Stability

The evolving fiscal indicators highlight the complex balance between revenue enhancements and growing expenditures amid changing economic conditions. The data, meticulously compiled and reported by the national statistical authority, point to significant challenges and opportunities for policymakers tasked with sustaining long-term fiscal stability.

Outlook

The detailed disaggregation of revenue and expenditure items is critical for informed decision-making in the public sector. As governments navigate the interplay of rising social contributions, evolving tax bases, and shifting capital investments, the Q3 2025 fiscal performance offers pivotal insights into the broader economic trajectory and the future direction of public finance management.

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Nearly 80% Of Cyprus’ Foreign Investment Came From Outside EU In 2025

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

November 11, 2026

Cyprus had the highest share of foreign direct investment (FDI) originating outside the European Union among 14 EU member states reporting data for 2025. According to Eurostat, non-EU economies accounted for 79.4% of the island’s inward FDI, highlighting its distinct position among the reporting countries.

The figures contrast with most other EU economies, where investment from within the bloc remains the main source of foreign capital.

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Cyprus Leads In Non-EU Investment Share

Eurostat measures inward FDI positions by the ultimate investing economy, identifying the economy where the investment ultimately originates rather than only the country through which it is channelled. This distinction is important when investments involve subsidiaries or intermediary holding companies.

In nine of the 14 reporting countries, most foreign investment came from within the EU. The Czech Republic recorded the highest intra-EU share, at 75.1%, followed by Romania at 73.3% and Estonia at 64.8%.

Cyprus was among five countries where non-EU economies accounted for more than half of inward FDI. Spain, Sweden, Greece and Denmark also recorded shares above 50%, ranging from 51% to 55.1%.

US Is The Largest Source Of FDI Across Reporting Countries

Across the 14 countries collectively, the United States was the largest ultimate source of foreign direct investment, accounting for 15.4% of the total.

Germany ranked second at 11.5%, followed by France at 9.4%, the United Kingdom at 9.3% and Switzerland at 5.8%.

These figures reflect the combined investment positions of the reporting countries and do not identify Cyprus’s leading individual investment sources. However, the country-level data underline the island’s strong reliance on capital originating outside the European Union.