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Government Fiscal Performance Q3 2025: Surplus Decline Amid Revenue Gains and Elevated Spending

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 26, 2026

Fiscal Surplus Contraction in Q3 2025

Preliminary fiscal data for the period July–September 2025 indicate that the general government recorded a surplus of €653.6 million, a decline from the €871.0 million surplus achieved in the corresponding quarter of 2024. Detailed analysis from the Pleonasma series and related commentary on fiscal outcomes underscores the evolving economic landscape.

Revenue Enhancements

Total revenues for Q3 2025 increased by €104.2 million (+2.6%), reaching €4,099.0 million from €3,994.8 million in Q3 2024. Social contributions demonstrated robust growth, rising by €62.5 million (+5.7%) to €1,151.2 million from €1,088.7 million during the same period last year.

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Revenue gains were also observed in personal income and wealth taxation, which grew by €10.9 million (+0.8%) to €1,299.3 million compared to €1,288.4 million. Taxes on production and imports increased by €7.1 million (+0.6%), totaling €1,264.3 million; notably, net VAT revenue (after reimbursements) saw an encouraging rise of €40.2 million (+4.8%) to €886.4 million.

Other revenue segments, including receivables from property income, capital transfers, and goods and services provided, also registered modest improvements. Property income receivables climbed by €3.0 million (+13.5%), while capital transfers surged by €6.0 million to €10.8 million. Revenues from goods and services increased by €15.1 million (+6.1%) to €260.9 million. Conversely, current transfers experienced a slight contraction, decreasing by €0.4 million (-0.5%) to €87.2 million.

Escalating Expenditures

Total expenditures during the period advanced by €321.5 million (+10.3%), reaching €3,445.3 million versus €3,123.8 million in Q3 2024. Social benefits were the primary driver, with an increase of €97.8 million (+7.9%) to €1,334.6 million compared to €1,236.8 million previously.

Employee compensation—which encompasses statutory social contributions and public employee pensions—rose by €50.5 million (+5.6%), culminating at €955.6 million, up from €905.1 million. Intermediate consumption saw a moderate uptick of €4.5 million (+1.2%) to €382.0 million.

Notably, the capital account expenditures surged by €223.7 million (+84.2%) to €489.3 million, which includes €321.0 million in capital investments and €168.3 million in capital transfers, compared with €265.6 million the previous year. In contrast, payable property income contracted by €26.1 million (-25.7%) to €75.3 million, and other current expenditures fell by €16.1 million (-8.6%) to €171.2 million. Furthermore, subsidies experienced a marked reduction, dropping by €12.6 million (-25.3%) to €37.3 million from €49.9 million.

Implications for Policy and Economic Stability

The evolving fiscal indicators highlight the complex balance between revenue enhancements and growing expenditures amid changing economic conditions. The data, meticulously compiled and reported by the national statistical authority, point to significant challenges and opportunities for policymakers tasked with sustaining long-term fiscal stability.

Outlook

The detailed disaggregation of revenue and expenditure items is critical for informed decision-making in the public sector. As governments navigate the interplay of rising social contributions, evolving tax bases, and shifting capital investments, the Q3 2025 fiscal performance offers pivotal insights into the broader economic trajectory and the future direction of public finance management.

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Cyprus Introduces €200 Million Support Measures To Cut Energy And Food Costs

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 27, 2026

Comprehensive Relief Measures For A Resilient Economy

The government of Cyprus introduced support measures exceeding €200 million to reduce household expenses and support key sectors. The package targets energy costs, food prices, tourism and agriculture. Measures come in response to rising costs and supply pressures. Implementation begins in April and May 2026.

Energy And Fiscal Reforms

The government will reduce VAT on electricity for households to 5% from May 1, 2026, to March 31, 2027. The measure is expected to lower energy bills. Special consumption tax on transport fuels will decrease by 8.33 cents per liter between April and June 2026. Policy targets fuel-related costs.

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Broadening The Zero VAT Initiative

Authorities will expand the list of products with zero VAT. Meat, poultry and fish will be included from April 1 to September 30, 2026. Existing zero-VAT categories already include fruits and vegetables. The government also decided not to introduce a green tax on fuels, avoiding an additional cost of about 9 cents per liter.

Sector-Specific Supports

The package includes a 30% wage subsidy for hotel employees for April 2026. Measure supports tourism businesses during the early season. Support for airlines aims to maintain connectivity with key destinations. The agriculture sector will receive subsidies covering 15% of costs for fertilizers and supplies in April and May.

Economic Stability, National Security

President Nikos Christodoulidis said economic stability remains a priority for the government. He noted that growth, fiscal balance and inflation trends support current policy decisions. Statement links economic policy with broader national priorities. The government continues to monitor external risks.

Ensuring Consumer Protection

Furthermore, the government has mandated rigorous market oversight and intensified inspections to prevent exploitative pricing during this period of economic intervention. This proactive stance ensures that the benefits of the measures directly serve the citizens without unintended inflationary impacts.