Gold Surges Above $2,400 Amid Political Uncertainty In The US

Gold has surged past the $2,400 per ounce mark, driven by increasing demand from investors seeking safe havens amidst rising political uncertainty in the United States. The recent announcement by President Joe Biden that he will not seek re-election has intensified market volatility. Biden’s decision to endorse Vice President Kamala Harris for the Democratic nomination has added to the political unpredictability, with former President Donald Trump emerging as a strong contender in the polls.

This political turbulence has led investors to turn to gold, traditionally considered a secure asset during times of instability. Additionally, the weakening US dollar has further bolstered gold prices. As markets opened on Monday, the dollar’s decline provided additional momentum for gold, as a weaker dollar typically enhances the metal’s appeal by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies.

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The ongoing pre-election campaign in the US, coupled with recent events such as an assassination attempt on Trump in Pennsylvania, has created a climate of uncertainty. This has prompted investors to seek refuge in gold, driving its price to new highs.

Market analysts hold mixed views on the long-term impact of a potential Trump victory on gold prices. Some anticipate that Trump’s policies, which may include higher trade tariffs and increased US-China tensions, could strengthen the dollar and bond yields, traditionally inversely related to gold prices. However, expectations of looser fiscal policies under a Trump administration might counteract this effect, sustaining the demand for gold.

The recent performance of gold reflects heightened investor expectations that the Federal Reserve may shift towards monetary easing. Lower interest rates generally favour gold, as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

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EU Farm Output Prices Decline For The First Time In Nine Months

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 12, 2026

EU Market Adjustments Signal New Price Trends

Agricultural output prices across the European Union declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a shift after several quarters of increases. Data from Eurostat shows that farm gate prices fell by 1.9% compared with the same period in 2024.

Crisis of Declining Prices In Select Markets

Cyprus recorded one of the more notable decreases in agricultural input costs among EU member states, with prices falling by 2.6% compared with Q4 2024. The reduction eased cost pressures for the local agricultural sector following periods of higher prices earlier in 2025. Across the EU, prices for goods and services consumed in agriculture remained relatively stable. Non-investment inputs such as energy, fertilisers and feedingstuffs showed limited overall changes during the quarter.

Country-Specific Divergence In Price Movements

Eurostat data highlights considerable variation across member states. Fifteen EU countries recorded declines in agricultural output prices. Belgium registered the largest decrease at 12.9%, followed by Lithuania (8.2%) and Germany (6.0%). At the same time, twelve countries reported increases in output prices. Ireland recorded the strongest rise at 6.8%, followed by Slovenia (5.6%) and Malta (4.2%).

Stability In Agricultural Inputs Amid Commodity Shifts

Agricultural input prices also showed mixed developments. Eleven member states recorded declines, including Cyprus (2.6%), Belgium (2.1%) and Sweden (2.0%). Other countries experienced moderate increases, including Lithuania (4.2%), Ireland (3.3%) and Romania (2.5%). Among major agricultural commodities, milk prices declined by 4.1% while cereal prices fell by 8.9% across the EU. In contrast, fertilisers and soil improvers increased by 7.9%, reflecting continued volatility in input markets.

Outlook For EU Agriculture

The latest Eurostat data points to uneven price developments across the EU agricultural sector. While input prices remained broadly stable in many markets, movements in output prices varied significantly between member states. These trends highlight the need for farmers and policymakers to adapt to shifting commodity prices and changing cost structures across the European agricultural market.

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