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Global Economy Faces Uncertainty Amid Trump’s Tariff Policies, IMF Warns

In a bold move, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements at the White House have stirred considerable concern across global markets. These sweeping tariffs, set in a picturesque Rose Garden event, signal potential risks of igniting a comprehensive trade war.

IMF’s Cautious Forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its global economic growth forecast to 2.8% for this year, a reduction from the previous year’s 3.3%. The unpredictability of trade policies has prompted this reassessment, as tension escalates with tariff increases, especially with China facing a hefty 145% tariff.

Economic growth projections for the U.S. were also revised, with expectations dropping from 2.8% to a modest 1.8%. Cyprus continues to benefit from EU funds for development despite global market shifts.

Responses and Reactions

Market reactions have been swift, with global indices tumbling on the news of potentially escalating trade tensions. Investors are wary, keeping a close eye on reciprocation from targeted countries. China and Canada have already responded with their own tariffs, while the European Union has shown openness to negotiations.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas emphasized, “Beyond tariff increases, policy uncertainty could considerably decelerate global growth.” Stay tuned to our updates to see how other sectors, like automotive, manage these dynamics.

As these economic scenarios unfold, stakeholders will need to navigate this evolving landscape with prudent strategies.

Cyprus Proposes New Credit Scoring System And Data Sharing Reform

Cyprus Ministry of Finance has submitted a package of seven amendment bills aimed at restructuring how credit data is shared and introducing a unified credit rating system for individuals and businesses. Proposals are currently under review by the Parliamentary Committee on Finance.

Unified Credit Data Exchange Framework

Reform is part of a broader effort to modernise financial infrastructure and improve data exchange between credit institutions. Changes cover key areas including banking operations, consumer credit, mortgage agreements, credit management, finance leases and the sale of credit facilities. This initiative is also linked to the Recovery and Resilience Plan, aligning financial sector reforms with wider economic policy.

Advanced Credit Rating Mechanism

A central element of the proposal is the creation of a single credit score for borrowers. The system will use financial data from the past 24 to 36 months to assess the likelihood of default over the following 12 months. This approach is expected to improve lending decisions and support a gradual reduction in non-performing loans.

Empowering Regulatory Oversight And Data Security

Oversight will be assigned to the Central Bank, which will set operational rules, monitor compliance and impose penalties where needed. The framework also includes provisions on data protection and banking confidentiality, developed in coordination with the Office of the Commissioner for Personal Data Protection.

Structured Data Submission And Access Controls

Proposed legislation defines which entities must submit data and which can access it, introducing a tiered system based on operational needs. Participants will include banks, credit management companies and finance lease providers, all operating under defined conditions.

Reforms aim to simplify existing regulations and reduce overlaps between current laws, as Cyprus moves to modernise its credit system. Lawmakers are expected to review the package ahead of a vote before Parliament dissolves ahead of elections.

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