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Global Economy Faces Uncertainty Amid Trump’s Tariff Policies, IMF Warns

In a bold move, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements at the White House have stirred considerable concern across global markets. These sweeping tariffs, set in a picturesque Rose Garden event, signal potential risks of igniting a comprehensive trade war.

IMF’s Cautious Forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its global economic growth forecast to 2.8% for this year, a reduction from the previous year’s 3.3%. The unpredictability of trade policies has prompted this reassessment, as tension escalates with tariff increases, especially with China facing a hefty 145% tariff.

Economic growth projections for the U.S. were also revised, with expectations dropping from 2.8% to a modest 1.8%. Cyprus continues to benefit from EU funds for development despite global market shifts.

Responses and Reactions

Market reactions have been swift, with global indices tumbling on the news of potentially escalating trade tensions. Investors are wary, keeping a close eye on reciprocation from targeted countries. China and Canada have already responded with their own tariffs, while the European Union has shown openness to negotiations.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas emphasized, “Beyond tariff increases, policy uncertainty could considerably decelerate global growth.” Stay tuned to our updates to see how other sectors, like automotive, manage these dynamics.

As these economic scenarios unfold, stakeholders will need to navigate this evolving landscape with prudent strategies.

MENA Tech Index Fell 4.6% In July, But Outperformed Global Tech

The MAGNiTT Tech Index fell 4.6% in July, marking its second consecutive monthly decline as technology stocks weakened across global markets. MGTI closed the month at 165.24, down 4.76% in 2026 and 24.88% from its January 2025 peak.

Despite the decline, the index remained 65.24% above its January 2023 inception level. Its lower correlation with global technology benchmarks also limited its exposure to the broader technology sell-off.

Saudi Technology Stocks Lead The Decline

Saudi technology companies accounted for much of July’s decline. Nice One fell 21.3%, Jahez dropped 17.2%, and Rasan declined 15.7%, while Talabat gave back part of its second-quarter recovery.

Only three of the index’s 15 constituents ended July higher. MGTI also underperformed regional equity markets, with Saudi Arabia falling 1.89% and Dubai declining 2.69% during the month.

MGTI Shows Lower Correlation With Global Tech

July marked a reversal in global technology stocks, with MSCI EM IT falling 12.81% and MSCI ACWI IT declining 5.64%. MGTI’s lower correlation with those benchmarks limited the decline, with a correlation of 0.36 to MSCI EM IT.

The index also has limited exposure to semiconductors and large-cap AI companies that have driven much of the recent global technology rally. Its performance therefore differs from the broader global technology cycle.

MGTI Remains Above Its 2023 Level

MGTI has gained 65.24% since its January 2023 inception despite its recent declines. The index entered August down 4.76% for 2026 and nearly 25% below its January 2025 peak.

The MAGNiTT Tech Index July 2026 Monthly Update includes constituent-level performance, regional and global benchmark comparisons, and data on correlation, beta and volatility.

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The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties
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