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Global Economy Faces Uncertainty Amid Trump’s Tariff Policies, IMF Warns

In a bold move, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements at the White House have stirred considerable concern across global markets. These sweeping tariffs, set in a picturesque Rose Garden event, signal potential risks of igniting a comprehensive trade war.

IMF’s Cautious Forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its global economic growth forecast to 2.8% for this year, a reduction from the previous year’s 3.3%. The unpredictability of trade policies has prompted this reassessment, as tension escalates with tariff increases, especially with China facing a hefty 145% tariff.

Economic growth projections for the U.S. were also revised, with expectations dropping from 2.8% to a modest 1.8%. Cyprus continues to benefit from EU funds for development despite global market shifts.

Responses and Reactions

Market reactions have been swift, with global indices tumbling on the news of potentially escalating trade tensions. Investors are wary, keeping a close eye on reciprocation from targeted countries. China and Canada have already responded with their own tariffs, while the European Union has shown openness to negotiations.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas emphasized, “Beyond tariff increases, policy uncertainty could considerably decelerate global growth.” Stay tuned to our updates to see how other sectors, like automotive, manage these dynamics.

As these economic scenarios unfold, stakeholders will need to navigate this evolving landscape with prudent strategies.

Cyprus Tightens Oversight Of Foreign-Interest Companies

yprus is revising the framework for companies with foreign interests, introducing stricter compliance checks and new requirements designed to attract businesses that make a substantive contribution to the economy.

The Cabinet approved the changes on Tuesday following a proposal from the Ministry of Energy, Commerce and Industry. In a post on X, Energy Minister Michalis Damianos said the revised framework aims to attract companies with a genuine presence in Cyprus and the potential to create added value.

Greater Focus On Real Economic Activity

The revised framework prioritises companies’ actual economic activity, regardless of the origin of their capital. As part of the changes, the existing register will be renamed the “Business Facilitation Centre Register”.

The new rules also strengthen compliance monitoring and establish procedures for removing companies that fail to meet their obligations. Checks on the 70%–30% employment ratio will be conducted seven years after registration.

Annual Employment Reporting From 2027

From January 1, 2027, registered companies will be required to submit annual employment reports. The measure is intended to improve transparency and help authorities monitor compliance with the framework.

The revisions also clarify the conditions under which companies may retain their registration if their ultimate beneficial owners obtain Cypriot or other EU citizenship.

Part Of A Wider Business And Talent Strategy

According to Damianos, the changes aim to attract companies with a substantive presence, growth potential and a measurable contribution to Cyprus’s economy. The framework introduces clearer procedures and oversight while reinforcing existing obligations.

The decision forms part of a broader review of Cyprus’s Strategy for Attracting Businesses and Talent, which is expected to be completed by December 2026.

The first consultation workshop with the business community and other stakeholders took place on October 28, with a second scheduled for October 29.

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