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Global Economy Faces Uncertainty Amid Trump’s Tariff Policies, IMF Warns

In a bold move, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements at the White House have stirred considerable concern across global markets. These sweeping tariffs, set in a picturesque Rose Garden event, signal potential risks of igniting a comprehensive trade war.

IMF’s Cautious Forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its global economic growth forecast to 2.8% for this year, a reduction from the previous year’s 3.3%. The unpredictability of trade policies has prompted this reassessment, as tension escalates with tariff increases, especially with China facing a hefty 145% tariff.

Economic growth projections for the U.S. were also revised, with expectations dropping from 2.8% to a modest 1.8%. Cyprus continues to benefit from EU funds for development despite global market shifts.

Responses and Reactions

Market reactions have been swift, with global indices tumbling on the news of potentially escalating trade tensions. Investors are wary, keeping a close eye on reciprocation from targeted countries. China and Canada have already responded with their own tariffs, while the European Union has shown openness to negotiations.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas emphasized, “Beyond tariff increases, policy uncertainty could considerably decelerate global growth.” Stay tuned to our updates to see how other sectors, like automotive, manage these dynamics.

As these economic scenarios unfold, stakeholders will need to navigate this evolving landscape with prudent strategies.

Z.ai Shares Jump 8% After New AI Model Runs On Chinese Chips

Chinese artificial intelligence company Z.ai released a new model Wednesday that it says operates entirely on domestically produced semiconductors, highlighting China’s push to reduce reliance on foreign AI hardware.

The low-cost GLM-5.3-Flash ranks 10th on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, ahead of DeepSeek V4 Pro Max. Z.ai’s Hong Kong-listed shares rose more than 8% in Thursday trading.

Z.ai Claims 100,000 Domestic Chips

Z.ai said it used 100,000 China-made chips to process online requests for GLM-5.3-Flash, including after its August 20 release under the code name “Ox Alpha”. The model ranked first by usage on the global OpenRouter platform over the past week.

The company has not identified the chip suppliers, while CNBC was unable to independently verify the claim. Counterpoint Research senior analyst Ivan Lam said Z.ai is likely using Huawei Ascend chips alongside processors from other domestic suppliers, reflecting closer cooperation between Chinese AI developers and hardware companies.

Running an AI model generally requires less computing power than training one, meaning the use of domestic chips for inference does not necessarily demonstrate that the same hardware could train the model at scale.

China Pushes Domestic AI Hardware

The development comes as Nvidia faces restrictions on selling advanced chips to China, while Huawei and other Chinese companies expand their alternatives.

Beijing has accelerated efforts to strengthen domestic semiconductor and AI capabilities following U.S. restrictions on advanced chip exports. Leading U.S. AI models are also not officially available in China.

Z.ai’s release therefore offers another indication of how Chinese AI companies are adapting their infrastructure as access to leading foreign processors becomes more constrained.

MiniMax Shares Also Rise

Z.ai rival MiniMax gained about 3% in Hong Kong after reporting a 283% year-on-year increase in first-half revenue. Its adjusted net loss more than doubled to $293 million, while its M3 model ranks 18th on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index.

Both companies listed in Hong Kong in January. Since then, Z.ai shares have climbed more than 800%, compared with a gain of more than 80% for MiniMax. Z.ai is scheduled to report its first-half results on Monday.

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