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Fitch Upgrades Cyprus’s Credit Rating to ‘A-‘ from ‘BBB+’

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 9, 2024

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Cyprus’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from ‘BBB+’ to ‘A-‘, citing significant progress in debt reduction, robust fiscal performance, and strong economic growth. The upgrade reflects a series of key rating drivers that underscore the country’s financial stability and growth prospects.

Sharp Decline in Debt-to-GDP Ratio

A standout factor in the upgrade is Cyprus’s remarkable reduction in its debt-to-GDP ratio. Fitch highlighted that Cyprus has achieved “one of the sharpest declines in public debt/GDP among Fitch-rated sovereigns in recent years.” Public debt is projected to fall from a peak of 113.5% in 2020 to 65.5% in 2024, with further reductions to 60% in 2025 and 55.1% in 2026. This trend would position Cyprus well below the current eurozone average of 89% and in line with the ‘A’-median ratio.

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Driving this debt reduction is a combination of factors, including high primary fiscal surpluses, sustained nominal GDP growth, and stable interest rate costs. Fitch forecasts an average primary surplus of 4.8% of GDP for the period 2024-2026, with the general government surplus expected to reach 3.9% of GDP in 2024.

Consistent Fiscal Discipline

Fitch acknowledged Cyprus’s consistent outperformance in fiscal results, which have regularly exceeded prior forecasts. Revenue growth, fuelled by strong employment gains and enhanced tax collection, has been a key contributor. Fitch projects a gradual decline in fiscal surpluses, averaging 2.9% in 2025-2026, but this still surpasses the projected ‘A’ median deficit of 2.7%.

Another crucial factor is Cyprus’s commitment to prudent fiscal policies, with support from across the political spectrum. This commitment includes a focus on debt reduction, increased revenue-raising capacity, and the maintenance of substantial cash reserves, which are expected to average 12% of GDP over the forecast period. Efforts to address long-term structural issues, such as financing the social security system, could further mitigate future fiscal risks.

Solid Economic Growth Outlook

Cyprus’s economic outlook remains positive, with Fitch forecasting GDP growth of 3.8% in 2024 and an average of 3.1% over the forecast period. Growth will be driven by high-performing sectors, notably information and communication technology (ICT) and financial services, which are known for their high productivity.

Unemployment is also on a steady downward trajectory. Fitch expects the unemployment rate to drop to 4.6% by 2026, a sharp decline from its peak of 16.1% in 2014.

Banking Sector Resilience

Cyprus’s banking sector has continued to strengthen, with Fitch highlighting improvements in solvency, liquidity, and profitability. Benefiting from higher interest rates and a favourable macroeconomic environment, banks have seen a reduction in non-performing loans (NPLs) — now at 7% as of the first half of 2024, down from 7.9% at the end of 2023. While still above the EU average, the drop was achieved organically rather than through asset sales, signalling long-term financial stability.

Fitch noted that improvements in the banking sector have reduced risks to macroeconomic stability and lowered the likelihood of contingent liabilities for the government. However, some legacy challenges within the sector remain and will need to be addressed in the medium term.

What the Upgrade Means for Cyprus

The Fitch upgrade to ‘A-‘ reflects growing international confidence in Cyprus’s fiscal and economic outlook. The country’s ability to reduce debt, maintain strong fiscal surpluses, and enhance banking sector stability all contributed to the rating uplift. This enhanced rating positions Cyprus more favourably in global financial markets, potentially reducing borrowing costs and attracting further investment.

As Cyprus continues to make progress on its economic and fiscal targets, it is well-placed to sustain its role as a regional financial hub, offering strong growth prospects and financial stability for investors and stakeholders alike.

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Cloudflare Sets New Default To Separate Search Crawlers From AI Bots

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

July 2, 2026

Cloudflare has drawn a sharper line between traditional search and artificial intelligence.

Beginning September 15, 2026, the company will change its default settings to block so-called mixed-use crawlers from pages that run ads, unless a site owner chooses otherwise. The policy applies to new Cloudflare customers, new sites created by existing customers, and all current free customers.

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A Clearer Divide In Web Access

The shift could materially reshape how AI companies collect web data for model training and agentic products. Cloudflare’s central argument is straightforward: most publishers want their content to remain visible in search and accessible through certain AI services, but they do not want that same material repurposed without compensation.

In Cloudflare’s view, the problem is not crawling itself. It is the blending of three different functions: search, agentic use, and training into a single bot that makes it difficult for website owners to set meaningful boundaries.

The Google Question

Cloudflare pointedly referenced the “world’s largest search engine,” an unmistakable nod to Google, arguing that it has access to roughly twice as much information as rival AI companies because it makes it harder for customers to stay discoverable without also being used for AI.

Google has disputed that framing. The company offers Google Extended, a crawler setting that lets publishers opt out of having content used for training and AI products such as Gemini apps and Vertex AI, without affecting visibility in Google Search. At the same time, Googlebot still crawls for Search and for AI-powered features such as AI Overviews and AI Mode.

Publishers Want Reach, Not Exploitation

Matthew Prince, Cloudflare’s co-founder and chief executive, said the company is moving quickly because the internet is now dominated by machine traffic.

“Now that the majority of traffic on the Internet is non-human, we must go further and act faster so that a sustainable ecosystem can emerge,” Prince said, referring to the recent milestone in which bots surpassed human traffic online sooner than expected.

Prince added that Cloudflare’s tools and partnerships are designed to give publishers more visibility and commercial leverage, while also rewarding AI companies that are transparent about how they use content.

From Pay Per Crawl To Pay Per Use

Cloudflare has increasingly positioned itself as a gatekeeper for publishers looking to assert control in the AI era. The company already offers tools to block AI bots, along with a marketplace called Pay Per Crawl, which lets websites charge AI systems for scraping.

That framework is now expanding into Pay Per Use, which Cloudflare says will allow publishers to charge AI companies when content creates value, not merely when it is fetched. In practical terms, that shifts the economics from extraction to monetization.

Cloudflare says the move may also reduce waste. Its data suggests more than half of crawl traffic from AI bots is spent revisiting pages that have not changed, consuming bandwidth and compute without adding fresh value for either side.

Early Partners Signal The Commercial Model

To launch the new system, Cloudflare is working with Ceramic.ai and You.com. Under the opt-in model, publishers can be paid when their content appears in Ceramic’s AI search results or when You.com accesses premium material.

Cloudflare says other AI companies can adapt the model to fit their own products. The broader message is clear: the era of unrestricted crawling is giving way to one in which access, attribution, and compensation are increasingly negotiated rather than assumed.