Fitch Affirms Cyprus’ Investment Grade Rating With Positive Outlook Amid Fiscal Improvements

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

November 25, 2025

On November 21, 2025, the international ratings agency Fitch confirmed Cyprus’ A‐rating while upgrading the economic outlook from stable to positive. This move, welcomed by the Ministry of Finance, signals potential for further upgrades should the projections in the accompanying report materialize.

Key Drivers Behind The Positive Outlook

Fitch’s decision rests on several critical factors:

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Declining Public Debt: A dramatic reduction in public debt from 2022 to 2025 is expected to persist into 2026–2027, with debt falling below the 60% of GDP threshold (projected at 55.4% in 2025) and even below the EU median.
Sustained Fiscal Surpluses: Ongoing fiscal surpluses are forecast to continue during 2025–2027, estimated at approximately 3.2%, reinforcing fiscal discipline.
Robust Economic Growth: Economic expansion is projected to reach 3.4% in 2025, with growth stabilizing around 3% in the subsequent years, outpacing the eurozone’s expected 1% growth rate.
Strength In The Labor Market: A marked improvement in labor market conditions, with unemployment rates regressing to pre-2009 levels, further supports the positive outlook.

Fitch underscores that the future rating trajectory will depend on the evolution of public finances, macroeconomic trends, and balance-of-payments developments.

Moody’s Periodic Review

The Ministry of Finance also noted that international agency Moody’s recently completed its periodic review without adjusting Cyprus’ credit rating, which remains at A3. Moody’s assessment reflects:

Strong institutional capacity and effective policymaking.
A continued downward trajectory in public debt levels.
Substantial fiscal surpluses maintained by the government.
Diversified economic growth bolstered by varied sectors.
A tourism industry rebounding to pre-pandemic levels with record revenues.
A stable banking sector underpinned by robust capital reserves and liquidity.

However, challenges remain for Cyprus, including its small size, enduring expenditure pressures, and potential banking sector risks should conditions unexpectedly change.

Government Commitment And Strategic Leadership

Cyprus Finance Minister Makis Keravnos applauded the recent ratings updates. In his statement, he attributed the robust performance to the government’s consistent and rational economic policies. He emphasized that Cyprus’ sustained creditworthiness and fiscal discipline have paved the way for further upgrades, reflecting both domestic resilience and international confidence.

Broader Impact And Future Prospects

President Nikos Christodoulides also weighed in, stressing that these favorable credit ratings do more than bolster investor confidence; they translate into tangible societal benefits. Enhanced credit profiles allow Cyprus to secure financing on more attractive terms, promoting developmental projects that stimulate job creation and support higher wage growth. Lower borrowing costs for both households and businesses further contribute to the long-term economic well-being of the country.

In summary, the dual reassurances from Fitch and Moody’s underscore a compelling narrative of disciplined public finances, robust growth, and a commitment to sustainable development. As Cyprus navigates a challenging global landscape, its steadfast governance remains a cornerstone for future prosperity.

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Navigating Persistent Pressures: Labour Shortages, Bureaucracy, And Payment Delays In Limassol

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 19, 2025

Labour Shortages Challenge Expansion

Recent data from the Limassol Chamber Of Commerce And Industry underscores the enduring pressure within Limassol’s business community. Rather than indicating a sudden economic downturn, the survey reveals a gradual intensification of challenges that have long been a concern for local enterprises.

Skilled Labour In Short Supply

At the forefront is a chronic shortage of skilled labour, which accounts for 22.5% of the responses. Companies across a diverse range of sectors—from engineering and technical services to professional driving and specialized sales—are grappling with vacancies that remain open for extended periods. The persistent demand for critical skills forces many firms to overextend their existing workforce or postpone strategic projects. While recruiting talent from abroad is increasingly seen as a necessity, the process is often hampered by procedural delays, strict regulatory constraints, and rising employment costs.

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Administrative Complexities And Public Sector Frustration

In addition to labour challenges, businesses express deep frustration with public-sector inefficiencies. Slow administrative procedures, fragmented communication, and a lack of clear guidance have rendered government support only marginally effective. With more than half of respondents regarding public services as minimally helpful, the inefficiencies highlight a system that frequently delays critical decisions and complicates routine business processes.

Deteriorating Payment Discipline

The survey also highlights a significant decline in payment discipline, with difficulties in collecting debts now ranking third among business concerns at 11.8%. Late payments are intensifying cash-flow pressures, extending through supply chains and further straining liquidity. Added to this is a sluggish justice system, where prolonged court delays have left companies financially exposed, often shouldering the burden of non-compliant customers while legal remedies lag behind.

Cost Pressures And Cautious Investment

Rising labour costs, intense domestic competition, and the pressure of lower-cost international markets — particularly in Asia — are driving firms to reconsider their investment priorities. Although nearly 60% of businesses intend to hire in the near term, investment plans in infrastructure, technology, and renewable energy are markedly selective. Overall sentiment remains cautious, with two-thirds of respondents expecting sales to stay level, both domestically and in overseas markets.

Calls For Policy Reforms And Digital Transformation

In an environment strained by excessive bureaucracy and inconsistent policy, businesses advocate for decisive governmental action. Respondents have pointed to the need for reduced business taxation, streamlined administrative processes, and more responsive public services. Furthermore, investment in digital transformation, artificial intelligence tools, and enhanced collaboration with academic and research institutions are seen as critical to boosting competitiveness and fostering innovation.

Conclusion: A Need For Strategic Reforms

The autumn 2025 barometer paints a picture of a resilient business community operating under increasing strain. With entrenched labour shortages, administrative inefficiencies, and deteriorating payment discipline, there is a clear call for targeted reforms. Addressing these structural challenges will be essential for ensuring that Limassol’s businesses not only sustain their current operations but also position themselves for future growth in an increasingly competitive global landscape.

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