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Fiscal Council Chief Warns Of Hidden Risks Amid Sustained Economic Growth

Cyprus is currently experiencing a period of robust economic expansion and fiscal balance. Fiscal Council President Michalis Persianis highlighted in the 2024 activity report that the nation is poised to maintain growth around 3 percent, driven by widespread sectoral contributions. State revenues are climbing steadily, even outperforming forecasts adjusted for inflation and general expansion.

Emerging Risks In A Period Of Prosperity

Despite these favorable conditions, Persianis warned that apparent stability could be masking significant long-term risks. He noted that while employment indicators remain strong, a further drop in unemployment could serve as an early warning signal rather than a celebratory milestone. The sustained zero inflation during this high-growth phase exemplifies both the nation’s resilience and the subtle challenges that accompany prosperous times.

Preparing Fiscal Space And Strategic Flexibility

Central to the Fiscal Council’s mandate is managing the nation’s debt trajectory, which remains on a downward path with a target of falling below 60 percent of GDP by 2025. According to Persianis, one of the Council’s key objectives is to preserve sufficient fiscal space. This flexibility is essential for governments to implement decisive measures when economic conditions require fiscal intervention. He emphasized that the current inflexibility in state expenditures—particularly indiscriminate social spending—limits available policy options and can entrench pro-cyclical dynamics.

Infrastructure, Climate, And Strategic Institutional Upgrades

Persianis underscored the urgent need to address structural weaknesses in vital infrastructures such as water supply, public transport, and energy. Challenges posed by climate change, which has transitioned from a theoretical scenario to a tangible reality, demand significant investment and forward-thinking strategies. His analysis also pointed to external uncertainties—from geopolitical turmoil to rapid technological advancements—that could reshape fiscal dynamics in coming years.

Long-Term Vision And Institutional Readiness

The Fiscal Council’s report calls for proactive, medium- to long-term strategies to safeguard Cyprus from future crises. While current surpluses offer a window of opportunity, Persianis reminded decision makers that easy times can mask the risks of complacency. He stressed the importance of enhanced analytical capacity and strategic planning within the Council to provide decisive guidance as external pressures intensify.

Upcoming Initiatives And Regional Cooperation

Looking forward, the Fiscal Council is organizing a thematic conference under the auspices of the European Network of Independent Fiscal Institutions (EU NIFI) in early 2026. This event, set against the backdrop of Cyprus’s forthcoming Presidency of the European Commission, underscores the critical role of institutional collaboration for broader fiscal reform and policy coordination across the European Union.

In summary, while Cyprus currently enjoys impressive economic health, the Fiscal Council’s leadership warns that significant challenges lie ahead. The nation’s ability to maintain fiscal discipline and implement strategic reforms will be pivotal in navigating the evolving global and domestic landscapes.

The Forbes Global 2000 Added $30 Trillion. AI Drove The Repricing

The 24th annual Forbes Global 2000 records highs in sales, profits, assets and market value. But there is one number that stands out from the rest.

The combined market value of 2,000 of the world’s largest public companies jumped 31.8% this year, adding more than $30 trillion (approximately €27.8 trillion) in shareholder value in the last twelve months.

Combined sales reached $56 trillion (approximately €51.9 trillion), up 6%. Profits climbed 13.9% to $5.5 trillion (approximately €5.1 trillion). Assets grew 12.9% to $272 trillion (approximately €252 trillion). However, none of these figures explains what actually happened at the level of the market.

The biggest change occurred in markets related to technology. Hardware, semiconductor, and software firms now account for 209 companies on the list, up from 186 last year. Their combined market value has nearly doubled from $23.9 trillion (approximately €22.2 trillion) to $41.4 trillion (approximately €38.4 trillion). That single cohort accounts for 57% of the entire list’s market value increase from last year. The driver appears to be the market’s appetite for anything AI-related.

The market has not been fully welcomed. Some still fear the threat of a bubble. Others see a market that still has room to run its course.

Richard Attias, chairman of the non-profit Future Investment Institute, ahead of the Forbes Iconoclast Summit in New York earlier this month, said: “AI will have an impact everywhere.”

The Chip Cycle

Nvidia climbed 20 places to No. 27 and became the most valuable chip company on the list. South Korea’s SK Hynix, whose high-bandwidth memory chips are essential to AI servers, jumped 107 places to No. 48. Alphabet, one of the largest AI hyperscalers, rose five places to No. 4. CoreWeave, the AI cloud computing firm that joined the list last year, climbed 706 places to No. 1,093.

A similar trend could be seen in the hardware space. Taiwan’s Hon Hai Precision, the iPhone assembler and AI server manufacturer better known as Foxconn, climbed 55 places to No. 82. SanDisk, the California flash-storage company, entered at No. 614 after ranking outside the top 2,000 last year.

The Physical Side Of The Trade

It is not only code and cloud that saw growth, however. The materials industry also gained from the harder edge of the chip cycle. Materials companies on the Global 2000 rose 67.5% in market value and grew profits by 38.6%, as investment interest rewarded producers of copper, cobalt, lithium and the chemicals feeding semiconductors, advanced manufacturing, power systems and data centres.

British-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto climbed 24 places to No. 111 after landing a two-year collaboration with Amazon Web Services to supply copper made with its Nuton bioleaching technology to AWS’s US data centres. Nucor, the steel manufacturer, rose 84 places to No. 416 on the back of data centre demand for its pre-engineered, plug-and-play steel products, the racks that hold the servers.

The Banks Still Hold Their Own

Even with AI dominating this year’s headlines, the top of the ranking still belongs to those who are in charge of the balance sheets. JPMorganChase, for instance, holds onto its No. 1 spot for the fourth year in a row, with $4.9 trillion (approximately €4.5 trillion) in assets.

There are 314 banks on this year’s list, more than any other industry, holding $140.4 trillion (approximately €130 trillion) in combined assets. That is more than half of the total for all 2,000 companies.

Another 136 diversified financial firms made the cut, alongside 113 insurers.

Banks and insurers are responsible for enormous balance sheets by design, while technology firms tend to be lighter on assets and therefore receive less credit on that metric. Elevated interest rates helped, too, allowing banks, insurers and other lenders to earn higher profits on loans and fixed-income assets.

The rest of the top 10 show a little more diversity. Amazon takes second place on $742.8 billion (approximately €688 billion) in sales and a $2.8 trillion (approximately €2.6 trillion) market value. Alphabet sits at No. 4 and Microsoft ties for No. 7, both benefiting from investor interest for the firms producing the software, cloud services and AI platforms driving the current tech rally. Berkshire Hathaway, Saudi Aramco and Bank of America remain in the upper tier on the strength of their profits, assets and cash generation. Three Chinese banking giants (ICBC, China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China) close out the top 10, a remnant from the era when Chinese lenders led the list

Of the 2003 top 10, only Bank of America is still on it today.

The Old Economy And The New

The Global 2000 still shows both faces of the world economy. The heavyweight banks continue to sit on the assets, the oil majors continue to produce the cash, and the retail giants continue to move the goods. The biggest change this year was the direction of investor interest. Businesses did almost the same work they did last year, but the markets repriced that same work with AI.

The winners of that repricing saw impressive growth in this year’s ranking. Chipmakers, server manufacturers, memory producers and the infrastructure firms powering AI data centres witnessed the biggest re-ratings anywhere on the list. Whether the market’s enthusiasm endures is the question the next twelve months will answer.

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