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Eurozone Retail Trade Remains Flat As Year‐Over‐Year Growth Accelerates

The latest preliminary figures released by Eurostat reveal that retail trade volume in the euro area experienced a marginal decline of 0.1% in September 2025, while remaining stable across the European Union. Despite this slight monthly dip, a year‐on‐year analysis tells a more positive story.

Steady Month‐to‐Month Performance

After a 0.1% decrease in August 2025, the euro area’s retail trade volume maintained its level in September. In the broader EU, the figures held steady, highlighting a temporary pause in the fluctuating retail environment. Sector-specific analysis indicates that food, drinks, and tobacco maintained stability in the euro area, while non-food products (excluding automotive fuel) fell by 0.2% and automotive fuel in specialized stores experienced a sharper 1.0% decline.

Compelling Annual Trends

On an annual basis, the calendar‐adjusted retail sales index demonstrated notable growth. The euro area recorded a 1.0% increase compared with September 2024, while the broader EU outpaced this with a 1.3% rise. This uptick is driven by contrasting performances among member states, with Cyprus leading the charge with an 8.5% increase. Malta and Bulgaria followed with increases of 6.6% and 5.7% respectively.

Divergent Market Performances Across Nations

Conversely, several member states showed declines. Italy faced a 2.3% reduction, with Romania (2.1%), Belgium (0.8%), and Austria (0.1%) trailing behind. On a monthly basis, the largest decreases were observed in Lithuania (1.1%), while Latvia, Slovenia, and Italy also saw significant drops. In contrast, Luxembourg and Malta recorded the highest monthly gains at 1.7%, followed by Estonia (1.5%) and Slovakia (1.4%).

Sector-Specific Insights

When analyzing annual changes in more specific sectors within the euro area, the food, drinks, and tobacco segment increased by 1.0%, and non-food products (excluding automotive fuel) by 1.4%. Notably, automotive fuel in specialized stores decreased by 0.7%. Across the EU, food, drinks, and tobacco grew by 0.5%, non-food products by 1.9%, and automotive fuel in specialized outlets saw a modest gain of 0.5%.

These granular insights offer a clearer picture of the evolving dynamics within the retail sector across Europe, underscoring both resilience and regional variability amid an overall positive annual trend.

MENA Venture Capital Stable As International Investor Activity Shifts

A Data-Led Analysis Of Investor Behavior In A War-Affected Region

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa remained relatively stable one month after the escalation of regional conflict. Early data, however, indicate changes in investor behavior rather than immediate shifts in funding totals. Initial signals are visible in investor participation, capital allocation, and deal pipeline activity.

Venture Markets And The Lag In Response

Funding announcements reflect decisions made months earlier, meaning that today’s figures do not capture the full impact of current events. Investors typically adjust strategies gradually, signaling future shifts long before they are immediately visible in total funding numbers.

International Capital As The Key Pressure Indicator

Participation of international investors remains a key indicator across the MENA venture market. Global capital has historically accounted for a significant share of funding in the region. Following global interest rate increases, international participation declined through 2023. This shift was reflected in lower cross-border deal activity, more cautious capital deployment, and longer fundraising timelines.

Implications For The Broader Startup Ecosystem

Changes in international investor activity affect multiple parts of the startup ecosystem. A recovery in participation was recorded in 2024 and continued into 2025, supporting funding activity and cross-border investment. If uncertainty persists, potential effects include slower investment decisions, reduced cross-border engagement, and extended fundraising cycles. International capital also plays a role in supporting larger funding rounds and access to global networks.

Next Steps For Stakeholders

International capital represents one of several factors shaping venture activity in the region. Its movement often precedes changes in late-stage funding, startup formation, and exit activity. Investors, policymakers, and ecosystem participants rely on data and scenario analysis to assess these trends and adjust strategies.

For A Deeper Insight

Further analysis on venture activity, capital flows, and geopolitical impact across the region is available in the full MAGNiTT report.

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The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties
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