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Europe’s Space Race: A Decade Behind, But Gaining Ground

When SpaceX pulled off yet another engineering marvel—catching its massive Super Heavy booster with robotic arms—Europe’s space industry couldn’t help but take notice. While the U.S. surges ahead, Europe has struggled to carve out its place in the commercial space race.

Enter Isar Aerospace, a German startup that finally launched its first test rocket. The flight, however, lasted less than 30 seconds before crashing. Despite the setback, industry insiders saw it as a milestone rather than a failure. “It’s historic,” says Stanislas Maximin, co-founder of French startup Latitude. “This is bigger than competition—it’s about proving Europe can do it.”

The Challenge Of Catching Up

Europe’s commercial space industry lags SpaceX by a decade, with regulatory bottlenecks and slow iteration cycles holding back progress. Meanwhile, SpaceX completed 134 launches in 2024, accounting for more than half of global orbital flights. Even the EU relies on SpaceX to launch key satellites.

Ariane 6, Europe’s latest government-backed rocket, finally debuted last year after €4 billion in delays. But while SpaceX slashes costs with its Starship program, Europe struggles to keep up. “We need to move faster—test more, iterate more,” says Maximin. “Crashed rockets mean progress.”

Lessons From SpaceX’s Playbook

Bulent Altan, a former SpaceX engineer and investor in Isar, argues that government inertia is to blame. “European officials know what’s possible—they tour SpaceX and NASA. It’s up to them to shift their mindset.”

Funding, too, remains an issue. While Isar raised €400 million—far more than SpaceX had for its first launch—American startups benefit from steady government contracts, helping them scale. “In the U.S., the government is a strong customer,” says VC Mark Boggett. “That just doesn’t exist in Europe.”

Too Many Players, Not Enough Demand?

Some warn that Europe’s space boom is spreading resources too thin. “There are too many privately funded ventures chasing a limited market,” says José Mariano López-Urdiales, CEO of Zero 2 Infinity. “It won’t end well for many.”

But Maximin disagrees, arguing that Europe should fund multiple ventures rather than protecting monopolies. “A competitive landscape drives innovation. You don’t need €4 billion to build a rocket—you need speed, iteration, and the right incentives.”

Europe may still be playing catch-up, but with companies like Isar pushing forward, its space ambitions are finally getting off the ground.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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