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Europe’s Economic Outlook 2026: Leveraging AI and Navigating Divergent Growth Trajectories

As the new economic cycle dawns, leading analysts are casting a discerning eye on predictions for Europe’s Gross Domestic Product growth. With artificial intelligence and improved economic conditions poised to drive global progress in the coming years, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) highlights both promising opportunities and pressing risks, including persistent labor market challenges.

Technological Innovation and Macro Policy Influences

Forecasts for economic performance vary considerably among European nations, and these disparities are increasingly linked to technological advancements. For the Eurozone, 2026 is expected to mark a period of stabilization and gradual improvement, even as international investors gravitate toward more cautious, quality-driven opportunities. With monetary policy from the European Central Bank likely to remain accommodative, consumption and business investments should receive much-needed support.

Divergent National Growth Projections

According to recent OECD estimates, real GDP growth in the Eurozone may lag behind the robust performances seen in the United States and China during 2025. The broader picture for 2026 and 2027 suggests a mild acceleration in overall growth for the European Union, albeit with significant variations across countries. Nations like Poland, Cyprus, and Lithuania are anticipated to outperform, with growth rates reaching 3.4%, 3.1%, and 3.1% respectively—exceeding the global average of 2.9%. Meanwhile, countries such as Austria, Finland, and Italy are expected to record growth rates below 1%, reflecting a more subdued economic performance. Germany and France are projected to see moderate growth of around 1%.

Forecasts Amid Fiscal Challenges And Global Uncertainty

The EU’s aggregate real GDP is expected to rise by approximately 1.4% in both 2025 and 2026, a growth trajectory set against the backdrop of fiscal pressures and ongoing international uncertainty. The Eurozone may experience a slight deceleration in real GDP growth—1.3% in 2025 to 1.2% in 2026—before a projected increase to 1.4% in 2027. These forecasts underscore the importance of technological progress and prudent economic policies in steering recovery, even as certain member states continue to grapple with structural challenges.

Ultimately, while the global economy appears to be reaching a mature stage of its cycle, emerging signs of recovery across Europe could make European assets increasingly attractive. This dynamic environment presents both risks and opportunities, calling for careful strategic planning by policymakers and investors alike as they navigate the evolving economic landscape.

Women Make Up A Majority Of The EU’s Science And Technology Workforce But The Real Gap Is Elsewhere

Women now make up the majority of the EU’s science and technology workforce. According to Eurostat, in 2025, more than 81.6 million people aged 15 to 74 were employed in science and technology occupations across the EU. Of those, 52.5% were women, equal to 42.8 million women. The number of women in these occupations rose by 27.9% compared with 2015, an increase of more than 9.3 million over a decade.

On the surface, the numbers resemble progress. However, Eurostat’s category requires context before that figure can be read accurately. The data refers to HRST, or Human Resources in Science and Technology, specifically people employed in science and technology occupations. These are roles where the main tasks require professional or technical knowledge in physical and life sciences, but also in social sciences and humanities. That definition is wider and broader than engineering, ICT, laboratory science, or high-tech research alone.

Zooming In

The gender picture changes once the data moves from a wider definition of the workforce to the narrower scientist-and-engineer (research and manufacturing) subgroup.

Scientists and engineers represented almost a quarter of all people employed in science and technology in the EU in 2025. Eurostat describes scientists and engineers as often being the innovators at the centre of technology-led development, making them an important subgroup to focus on separately.

Women accounted for only 40.8% of scientists and engineers in 2025, despite making up more than half of the wider category. That share has increased by a mere 0.5 percentage points over the past decade. The absolute number of women working as scientists and engineers rose from 5.3 million in 2015 to 8.2 million in 2025, despite the push from national and international organisations to increase the number of women in the field. Europe has expanded the number of women in science and technology occupations over ten years. However, that expansion has not extended equally into the scientist-and-engineer subgroup, where much of Europe’s research and innovation work is conducted.

In 2025, of the 39.4 million women aged 25 to 64 working in science and technology occupations in the EU, 35.5 million worked in service activities. Only 2.7 million worked in manufacturing. Women accounted for 57.5% of science and technology employment in services, but only 31.3% in manufacturing.

In 2025, the highest shares of women employed in science and technology occupations were recorded in Latvia at 62.4%, followed by Hungary’s Great Plain and North region at 61.1%, Estonia at 60.5%, Poland’s Central macroregion at 60.4%, and Lithuania at 60.3%. No EU country recorded a majority of women among science and technology workers in manufacturing.

Break-down

Eurostat’s figures measure employment in broad science and technology occupations. They do not show job security, pay levels, management roles, promotion rates, research leadership, or whether women are concentrated in junior or senior workplace positions.

The classification of “senior” also requires additional explanation. Eurostat reports that 45.9% of science and technology workers aged 25 to 64 in the EU were classified as “senior” HRST in 2025. In this dataset, “senior” refers to workers aged 45 to 64. It does not mean senior manager, senior researcher, team lead, or decision-maker.

A high female share in the wider Human Resource Science and Technology (HRST) category does not parallel equal representation across scientists, engineers, manufacturing roles, senior posts, pay, research funding, or decision-making. These figures also reflect the occupational mix inside each country or region, not only structural progress across all areas of science and technology.

The Case Of Cyprus

Eurostat data places Cyprus’s overall science and technology employment at 37.2% of the labour force in 2025, slightly above the EU-27 figure of 36.9%, and above Greece at 26.8%, Malta at 33.9%, and Turkey at 18.2%. This figure covers the total share of the labour force employed in science and technology across all genders.

Progress Or Work-in-Progress?

52.5% in the broad category. 40.8% among scientists and engineers. 31.3% in manufacturing. Europe’s gender gap in science and technology hasn’t closed yet, and there is still work to be done to encourage and support more women to enter the field, especially in research and manufacturing.

Let’s not wait another decade for another couple of percentage points of hope.

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