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European Central Bank Forecasts Reduction In Excess Liquidity Among Banks

In a pivotal move, the European Central Bank (ECB) has projected a notable reduction in the excess liquidity currently held by banks, as detailed in a recent report authored by Tom Hudepohl, Pamina Karl, Tobias Linzert, Benoit Nguyen, Marta Skrzypińska, and Lia Vaz Cruz. This anticipated decline will likely necessitate increased market-based financing, particularly through secured funding instruments such as repurchase agreements (repos) and covered bonds, to redistribute liquidity effectively across the Eurozone’s banking system.

Liquidity Redistribution and Market Stability

The ECB’s analysis highlights the uneven distribution of liquidity within and between countries, which may create disparities in financial stability. The reduction in excess liquidity, which stood at €3.2 trillion in May 2024 following a peak of €4.7 trillion in November 2022, will require banks to engage more actively in liquidity management practices. This redistribution is critical for maintaining short-term money market rates near the deposit facility rate, thereby limiting volatility.

Impact on Monetary Policy and Financial Markets

To address these challenges, the ECB has introduced adjustments to its operational framework. From September 2024, the margin between the Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) rate and the deposit facility rate will be lowered to 15 basis points. This change aims to encourage banks to participate in weekly refinancing operations, ensuring smooth implementation of monetary policy and reducing potential liquidity shortages.

The report underscores the importance of the repo market as a vital channel for liquidity allocation. Increased activity in this market indicates banks’ reliance on secured transactions to manage their liquidity needs efficiently.

Broader Economic Implications

The ECB’s measures reflect a broader strategy to normalise its balance sheet post-pandemic while ensuring adequate liquidity support for banks. This approach is designed to uphold favourable financing conditions and support economic recovery, aligning with the ECB’s mandate to maintain price stability.

As the banking sector adjusts to a lower liquidity environment, the emphasis will be on effective risk management and adherence to new regulatory standards. The ECB’s proactive steps in modifying its operational framework and promoting market-based liquidity solutions are crucial for sustaining financial stability and ensuring the smooth transmission of monetary policy.

Cyprus Crypto Users Face New Risks As MiCA Rules Take Effect

Why Investors Need To Check The Company Behind Their Crypto Platform

Crypto users in Cyprus are being urged to verify exactly which company holds their assets after the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) transition period ended on July 1, 2026.

MiCA rules for crypto-asset service providers have applied since December 2024, but Cyprus allowed companies operating under its previous national framework to continue temporarily. CySEC required providers wishing to remain in the market to apply by February 27, 2026.

The end of the transition means that appearing on an old national register is no longer enough. Investors must check the specific legal entity providing the service and the activities it is authorised to perform.

Two Regulatory Routes

CySEC maintains separate registers for providers authorised under Article 63 and companies using the Article 60 notification route.

The lists should not simply be treated as a count of licensed crypto exchanges. Providers have different regulatory statuses and may be authorised for different services, including custody, transfers, exchanges or operating trading platforms.

Companies authorised elsewhere in the EU can also serve Cypriot customers through MiCA passporting. Investors should therefore check the wider ESMA register.

Familiar Brands Can Still Be Used In Scams

MiCA authorisation applies to a specific legal entity, not automatically to every website, subsidiary or service using the same brand. Fraudsters can copy a legitimate company’s name, logo and licence number while changing its website or payment details.

The regulatory transition creates another opportunity for scammers. They can imitate legitimate notices about account closures or transfers and claim that customers must urgently move their assets to a new “regulated” platform.

In its July announcement, CySEC warned that customers using unauthorised providers do not receive MiCA protections and advised investors to verify providers through ESMA.

A Wider European Shake-Up

The changes affect the broader European crypto market. VASPnet estimated that more than 1,700 unlicensed crypto companies could face closure, relocation or restructuring after the transition period.

ESMA’s register contained 323 authorised providers at the end of July, while TRM Labs identified 1,343 operating providers in the European Economic Area on July 1, including 281 with MiCA authorisation. The different figures reflect different methodologies, but point to a substantial number of providers operating without the new authorisation.

ESMA instructed unauthorised companies to stop accepting new EU customers, opening accounts and marketing their services, while allowing limited activity needed for an orderly withdrawal.

What Investors Should Check

MiCA introduces common requirements for areas such as governance, disclosures and safeguarding client assets, but it does not make crypto investments risk-free.

For Cyprus users, the key questions are which legal entity provides the service, what it is authorised to do and whether the website or contact details are genuine.

Requests to transfer assets urgently, pay recovery fees, reveal private keys or install remote-access software should be treated as red flags. MiCA may bring greater clarity to the market, but the transition has also created a new opportunity for criminals to exploit a very real regulatory change.

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