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European And North American Cities Dominate Oxford Economics’ 2026 Index

European and North American cities dominate Oxford Economics’ 2026 Global Cities Index, taking 78 of the top 100 positions. Europe accounts for 44 cities, while the U.S. has 30 and Canada has four.

The index assesses the world’s largest cities across economics, human capital, quality of life, environmental conditions and governance.

London, Paris And New York Lead Major Cities

London ranks second globally, followed by Paris in third, Dublin in sixth and Zurich in 10th. Five U.S. cities, New York, Seattle, San Francisco, Boston and San Jose, also place in the global top 10.

U.S. cities generally score strongly on economics and human capital, while European cities perform better in quality of life, environmental conditions and governance, according to Liam Sides, director of City Services at Oxford Economics.

London stands out among European cities with the index’s highest human-capital score, although its quality-of-life score of 77 is its weakest category.

Housing Costs Remain A Common Challenge

High housing costs weigh on quality-of-life scores in London, Dublin and New York. More affordable cities such as Toulouse can attract workers from larger, more expensive urban centers.

Dublin climbed seven places to sixth, while Warsaw recorded Europe’s biggest rise, jumping 109 places to 61st. Istanbul rose 42 places to 64th, while Madrid and Budapest gained 14 places each.

Not all major cities improved. Rome fell eight places to 119th, while Lisbon dropped 44 places to 148th.

Five European Cities To Watch

Oxford Economics highlighted Warsaw, Tallinn, Eindhoven, Manchester and Toulouse as European cities to watch.

Warsaw’s economy is forecast to grow by about 3% annually over the next five years, nearly twice the European-city average. Tallinn is expected to record the strongest GDP growth among major EU cities over the next decade, supported by technology and professional services.

Eindhoven remains a major research and advanced-manufacturing center, with more than 5,000 high-tech and knowledge-based companies in its Brainport cluster. Manchester has recorded the strongest GDP and productivity growth among UK cities since 2010, while Toulouse continues to benefit from its aerospace industry and relatively lower living costs.

AI Is Reshaping Urban Growth

AI is increasingly influencing the economic prospects of cities with strong technology and advanced-manufacturing industries. London benefits from its universities and digital economy, while Eindhoven combines AI with advanced manufacturing and Tallinn has relatively high AI adoption among Central and Eastern European peers.

Outside Europe and North America, Taipei climbed 12 places to 48th, Kuala Lumpur rose 14 places to 65th and Shenzhen entered the top 100 at 93rd. Oxford Economics also expects cities such as Shenzhen and Bengaluru to benefit from AI and other emerging technologies if innovation translates into productivity gains.

Asia Gains Ground

Europe and North America continue to dominate the index, but Asian cities are becoming increasingly important drivers of urban economic growth.

By 2050, Chinese and Indian cities are forecast to account for a larger share of global-city GDP than Europe. Shanghai’s economy is expected to overtake San Francisco’s next year, while Ho Chi Minh City is projected to approach Berlin’s economic size by 2050.

The 2026 index therefore shows continued strength among established European and North American cities alongside faster growth in several Asian urban centers.

Europe’s Deadly Summer Heat Exposed The Cost Of A Warming Continent

Europe experienced its deadliest summer for heat-related deaths on record in 2026, with an estimated 24,400 excess deaths linked to extreme temperatures across 30 countries. Researchers estimate that human-induced climate change was responsible for around 32,000 of the deaths attributed to heat in the study’s broader analysis, accounting for 65% of the total.

The findings highlight the growing public-health consequences of global warming, largely driven by fossil fuel use, as extreme heat becomes more frequent and severe.

A Summer Of Dangerous Heat

Between June and August, heatwaves pushed temperatures in Western Europe to an average of 2.9°C above the 1991–2020 norm, with some days reaching 12°C above average. Nearly a third of estimated heat-related deaths occurred during a particularly intense heatwave between 17 June and 1 July.

“These numbers are a stark reminder that our hotter, more extreme summers are having an increasingly severe impact on public health,” said Dr Clair Barnes, a researcher at Imperial College London and co-author of the study.

The estimated toll exceeded previous peaks of around 29,000 deaths in summer 2022 and 28,000 in 2003 across the region studied.

How Researchers Estimated The Toll

Researchers modelled the relationship between temperature and mortality across 854 urban areas in the EU, UK, Norway and Switzerland, covering around 40% of the population in the 30 countries studied.

The analysis incorporated temperature records, age, socioeconomic conditions, environmental factors and access to healthcare. By comparing actual temperatures with those expected without human-induced warming, the team estimated the additional deaths attributable to climate change.

Final official mortality figures for summer 2026 are not yet available in many countries, and heat-related deaths are often underreported because their effects can be difficult to identify directly.

Older People Face The Greatest Risk

People aged 85 and over accounted for roughly half of the estimated deaths. However, the impact extended across age groups, with around 800 excess deaths among adults aged 20–44 and approximately 6,000 among people under 65.

Southern Europe experienced the highest mortality burden, reflecting hotter temperatures and other vulnerabilities, including air pollution, limited green space and unequal access to healthcare and heat-alert systems.

Italy, France And Spain Record Highest Toll

Italy recorded an estimated 13,303 heat-related excess deaths, followed by France with 7,268 and Spain with 6,824. Germany recorded around 6,340, while the UK saw an estimated 4,354 deaths.

In the UK, the heat also placed significant pressure on healthcare services. Andrew Hartle, Professor of Practice of Anaesthesia at Imperial College Healthcare, said demand during the summer resembled that of a severe winter virus season.

Cities Urged To Strengthen Heat Protection

Researchers say cities can reduce the risks through climate shelters, external shading and building retrofits, alongside measures to help residents avoid exposure during the hottest hours. Checking on vulnerable people, staying hydrated and following heat alerts are also important.

The researchers stress that adaptation must go hand in hand with reducing fossil fuel use to limit further warming. The findings underline that extreme heat is already a major public-health threat across Europe, with thousands of lives at risk each summer.

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