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EU-U.S. Trade In 2025: Surpluses, Shifting Flows And Strategic Ties

Trade Overview And Robust Growth

In 2025, the European Union exported goods worth €554.0 billion to the United States and imported €354.4 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of €199.6 billion. Exports increased 3.4% year over year, while imports rose 4.8%, reflecting continued strength in transatlantic trade flows.

Fluctuating Quarterly Trends

Trade activity varied across the year. The first quarter recorded strong growth in both exports and imports, supported by higher demand in U.S. markets. The second quarter showed a decline, followed by limited recovery in imports during the third quarter, while exports edged lower. By the fourth quarter, both exports and imports declined, indicating softer momentum toward year-end.

Sectoral Highlights And Product Leadership

According to the Standard International Trade Classification, the five largest product groups accounted for 53.0% of EU exports to the United States. Medicinal and pharmaceutical products led with a 29.0% share, followed by road vehicles (7.5%), general industrial machinery and equipment (5.9%), electrical machinery and parts (5.8%), and power-generating machinery (4.8%).

On the import side, medicinal and pharmaceutical products also ranked first at 17.0%, followed by petroleum and related materials (11.2%), power-generating machinery and equipment (9.4%), natural and manufactured gas (7.9%), and other transport equipment (6.6%).

Foreign Direct Investment And Geopolitical Connectivity

The scale of EU-U.S. trade highlights the strategic importance of the American market for Europe and its broader investment links. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that the United States remained one of Cyprus’ key foreign direct investment partners in 2024, alongside major European economies.

The report notes that while Europe remained Cyprus’ largest FDI partner overall, net FDI stock declined due to a sharper reduction in outward investment, primarily linked to equity instruments and, to a lesser extent, debt instruments.

Special purpose entities continued to influence investment flows, contributing to parallel movements in inward and outward FDI. Despite negative net FDI transactions and income in 2024, inward and outward rates of return improved to 7.8% from 6.7% a year earlier, reinforcing Cyprus’ role as a regional financial services hub.

Cyprus Expects More French Visitors In 2027 As Air Capacity Expands

Cyprus expects more French visitors in 2027 as airlines increase capacity between the two countries, Tourism Deputy Minister Kostas Koumis said after meetings with tour operators in Paris.

France, one of Cyprus’ key tourism markets, has had a difficult 2026. French arrivals fell 46% year over year to 8,453 in August, from 15,663 a year earlier, according to the Statistical Service of Cyprus (Cystat). August arrivals were also nearly 50% below the 16,798 recorded in the same month of 2024.

Overall, Cyprus received 2.82 million tourist arrivals between January and August, down 7% from the same period in 2025.

Air Connectivity Supports 2027 Outlook

Koumis discussed the 2027 outlook with senior executives from tour operators offering Cyprus holidays during the IFTM Top Resa travel trade fair in Paris.

Higher air capacity between France and Cyprus was a key focus of the talks. Participants also discussed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on the French market and Cyprus’ efforts to adapt its tourism offering to French travelers.

“The French market is undoubtedly an extremely important market for our country’s tourism,” Koumis said, adding that France had regained importance only a few years ago and still had room to grow.

Improved air connectivity will be an important factor in that expansion, according to Koumis. “It is now clear that air connectivity between France and Cyprus is improving significantly, which is a basic prerequisite for the further growth of the market,” he said.

Cyprus Promotes Tourism And Regional Cooperation

Koumis attended the opening of IFTM Top Resa at the invitation of French Tourism Minister Serge Papin, who later visited the Cyprus stand. Held from Sept. 15 to 17 at Paris Porte de Versailles, the event brought together more than 32,000 tourism professionals representing 177 destinations and 1,650 brands, according to organizers.

During his visit, Koumis also met Egyptian Tourism Minister Sherif Fathy. Cyprus and Egypt reaffirmed their tourism cooperation and discussed opportunities to strengthen ties further.

French media interviews covered Cyprus’ tourism offering, infrastructure and services, along with efforts to develop specialized tourism products. Regional instability weighed on arrivals in 2026, particularly during the spring, although the decline narrowed over the summer.

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