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EU Trade Surplus Rebounds As Export Sectors Drive Growth In Q4 2025

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 23, 2026

Robust Recovery In European Trade

The European Union recorded a trade surplus of €28.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, with exports to non-EU countries continuing to exceed imports. According to Eurostat data, the result extends the recovery trend that began in the third quarter of 2023.

Key Export Sectors Fueling Growth

Chemicals and related products generated the largest surplus at €49.3 billion. Machinery and vehicles followed with a surplus of €42.3 billion, while food, drinks and tobacco added €10.8 billion. Miscellaneous goods contributed €7.1 billion, reflecting broad-based export strength across multiple sectors.

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Addressing Persistent Challenges

The energy sector remained the main drag on the trade balance, posting a deficit of €62.7 billion. Other manufactured goods and raw materials also recorded deficits of €11.0 billion and €7.5 billion respectively, highlighting continued structural pressures in import-dependent categories.

Cooling Global Trade Dynamics

Data from the fourth quarter of 2025 also revealed a contraction in global trade activity. Total imports decreased by 1.4% while exports dropped by 0.8% compared to the previous quarter. These declines, marking three consecutive quarters of reduction for both categories, signal a potential cooling in global trade volumes that European businesses will need to navigate carefully moving forward.

Looking Ahead

The latest figures reveal both the strengths and vulnerabilities of current European trade dynamics. As the EU continues to leverage its competitive export sectors amidst challenging external pressures, policymakers and industry leaders alike must remain vigilant to maintain this upward trend while addressing persistent deficits in energy and certain manufactured categories.

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Cyprus Industrial Sector Demonstrates Robust End-Of-Year Performance

Recent data from the Cyprus Statistical Service show that the Industrial Turnover Index reached 139.8 in December 2025, compared with a base value of 100 in 2021. The figure represents a 4.9% increase compared with December 2024.

Strong Momentum Across the Board

For the full year, the index increased by 5% compared with 2024. The figures indicate continued activity across several industrial sectors in Cyprus.

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Manufacturing And Mining Drive Growth

Manufacturing recorded the largest increase, with the index reaching 146.8 in December. This represents a 7.1% increase compared with the same month a year earlier. Mining and quarrying also recorded a higher turnover, with an increase of 6%.

Sectoral Disparities Highlight Strategic Challenges

Not all sectors recorded growth during the same period. The electricity supply sector reported a 3.8% decline, while the water supply and materials recovery sector decreased by 6.8% year-on-year.

Aligned With European Standards

The Industrial Turnover Index measures monthly changes in turnover across key industrial sectors, including mining, manufacturing, electricity supply, and water supply. Under the NACE Rev. 2 classification used across the European Union, the index covers sections B, C, D, and E. Activities such as sewerage, waste collection, and remediation are not included.