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EU–Mercosur Agreement Expands Trade Opportunities For Cyprus

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 3, 2026

EU – Mercosur Agreement As A Strategic Imperative

The EU–Mercosur trade agreement, currently under review by the European Court of Justice following a European Parliament decision, would establish one of the world’s largest free trade areas. The deal предусматриває phased tariff elimination on approximately 92% of Mercosur goods over 10 years.

Current EU tariffs on most agricultural and agro-food imports range between 10% and 20%. The agreement includes quota systems and safeguard mechanisms allowing temporary tariff reinstatement in cases of import surges or demonstrated harm to EU producers.

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Deepening Trade Ties With Argentina

Data from Cyprus’ Ministry of Commerce for 2024 show significant reliance on Argentine soybean meal for animal feed. Imports reached €64.8 million, with Argentina covering 96.2% of Cyprus’ demand.

Imports from Brazil totaled €15.18 million, largely driven by coffee and concentrated fruit juices. Tariffs on soybean meal, currently between 10% and 14%, are expected to decline gradually to 0% during the transition period. Similar reductions apply to selected categories, including shelled peanuts and citrus products.

Brazil: A Critical Source Of Raw Materials And Industrial Goods

In 2024, Brazil supplied 80.06% of Cyprus’ imported unroasted coffee (€4.37 million) and 62.10% of concentrated orange juice imports (€6.35 million, 1.43 million kilograms).

Import duties vary by category. Coffee carries a 0% tariff, while fruit juices, footwear, vehicles, and machinery face duties ranging from 4% to 20%, reflecting broader EU trade structures.

Implications For Cypriot Exports

Cyprus’ exports to Argentina totaled €1.78 million in 2024. Machinery and mechanical equipment accounted for more than 55% of export value, followed by pharmaceuticals, plastic components, and water filtration systems.

Export volumes remain limited, highlighting the asymmetric structure of bilateral trade.

Looking Ahead: The EU – Mercosur Opportunity

The agreement предусматриває tariff elimination on approximately 91% of EU exports to Mercosur over a decade. For Cyprus, this could improve access to selected industrial and pharmaceutical products.

The economic impact will depend on implementation timelines and the ability of Cypriot firms to compete within Mercosur markets.

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Euro Area Inflation Rises To 1.9% In February

Headline Figures Signal Modest Acceleration

Euro area annual inflation rose to 1.9% in February 2026, up from 1.7% in January, according to Eurostat’s flash estimate. The increase marks a modest acceleration in headline inflation. Inflation trends, however, remain uneven across member states.

Notable Price Stability In Cyprus

Cyprus recorded an annual inflation rate of 0.9% in February, the lowest among euro area countries under the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The figure continues a period of relatively stable price growth compared with other member states.

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Sectoral Insights: Services Lead The Climb

Services inflation accelerated to 3.4% in February from 3.2% in January, remaining the main contributor to overall price pressures in the euro area. Food, alcohol, and tobacco held steady at 2.6% year-over-year, suggesting stabilization in consumer staples. Non-energy industrial goods increased to 0.7% from 0.4%, indicating moderate pricing pressure outside the energy component.

Energy Prices And Economic Divergence

Energy prices remained in negative territory but declined at a slower pace, moving from -4.0% in January to -3.2% in February. The deceleration in energy deflation reduced the downward pressure on headline inflation. Among major euro area economies, Germany’s inflation rate eased to 2.0% from 2.6%, while Spain recorded 2.5% and Italy 1.6%, reflecting uneven price dynamics across core markets.

Regional Disparities In Eastern Europe

Inflation remained elevated in parts of Eastern Europe and the Baltics. Slovakia posted 4.0%, Croatia 3.9%, and Estonia 3.2%, all above the euro area average. Slovenia moved in the opposite direction, with inflation rising to 2.8% from 1.9% year-over-year.

Monthly Variability And Short-Term Movements

Month-on-month data highlight short-term volatility. Belgium recorded a 2.5% increase and the Netherlands 1.5%, while Cyprus showed no monthly change. Slovakia posted a modest 0.1% increase, indicating more stable short-term pricing compared with Western European peers. These snapshots provide crucial insights for policymakers and investors navigating the complex inflationary environment.