EU Energy Overhaul: Bold Plan Set To Slash Fossil Fuel Imports By €45 Billion

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 26, 2025

In a move that could reshape the continent’s energy landscape, the European Commission is set to unveil a sweeping new energy plan today aimed at tackling soaring energy costs and deepening gas dependence. The strategy, which is expected to reduce the EU’s fossil fuel import bill by €45 billion in 2025 alone, promises to deliver annual savings of up to €130 billion by 2030.

Strategic Measures For A Tough Market

Facing weak demand and escalating energy prices, European industries are under significant strain. Brussels is poised to tighten its grip on the gas market by curbing speculative trading—a key driver behind recent price surges. The plan outlines several critical actions:

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Accelerated Renewable Permitting: Speeding up the approval process for renewable energy projects will pave the way for a more sustainable power mix.
Enhanced LNG Engagement: By working closely with LNG suppliers and investing in export infrastructure, the Commission aims to stabilize energy markets and foster competition.

According to internal analyses, these combined measures will not only curb the oil and gas import bill but also drastically reduce reliance on fossil fuels as the EU intensifies its efforts to meet ambitious climate goals.

Challenges And Opportunities

Yet, the road ahead is not without obstacles. While Europe is committed to cutting its gas usage permanently, the plan must navigate a landscape marred by high energy prices and external pressures. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned that the bloc must buy more LNG and oil to avoid additional tariffs—a geopolitical twist that adds to the urgency of Brussels’ initiatives.

The Commission’s proposals, however, face a significant hurdle: they remain recommendations. EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jorgensen stressed that if member states are serious about reducing energy prices, they must “step up” by enforcing existing rules and seizing every available opportunity to lower costs.

A Stark Contrast In Spending

The stakes are high. Data shows that EU spending on fossil fuel imports peaked at $604 billion in 2022, following Russia’s drastic gas supply cuts amid the Ukraine conflict. With such a substantial financial burden, the proposed measures offer a promising path to long-term savings, driven primarily by increased energy efficiency and a rapid expansion of renewable energy sources.

Looking Forward

As the EU charts a course toward a more sustainable and self-reliant energy future, today’s announcement marks a critical juncture. The plan represents not only an effort to shield European industries from volatile global markets but also a strategic pivot toward a cleaner, more resilient energy system. In a time when every euro counts, the Commission’s bold approach could set the stage for transformative economic and environmental benefits across the continent.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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