Breaking news

EU Demographics Shift: New Data On Foreign-Born And Third-Country Residents As Of January 2025

Overview Of European Demographic Trends

Recent Eurostat figures show notable changes in the demographic structure of the European Union as of January 1, 2025. Around 46.7 million residents, or 10.4% of the EU’s total population of 450.6 million, were born outside the bloc. This represents an increase of 1.9 million compared with the previous year and reflects the continued evolution of population patterns across Europe.

Foreign-Born Populations: Absolute And Relative Insights

In absolute numbers, foreign-born residents are most concentrated in Germany, France, Spain and Italy, with 17.2 million, 9.6 million, 9.5 million and 6.9 million people respectively. When measured as a share of national populations, Luxembourg ranks highest, with 51.5% of its permanent residents born abroad. Malta follows with 32.0%, Cyprus with 27.6%, Ireland with 23.3%, Austria with 22.5%, Sweden with 20.8% and Germany with 20.5%.

At the lower end of the scale, Poland reports 2.6%, Romania 3.6%, Bulgaria 3.8% and Slovakia 4.0% of residents born outside the EU. These differences illustrate varying migration flows as well as distinct national approaches to demographic and integration policy.

Third-Country Nationals And Intra-EU Mobility

As of January 1, 2025, approximately 30.6 million third-country nationals were living in the EU, accounting for 6.8% of the total population. This marks an annual increase of 1.6 million. In addition, about 14.1 million residents were citizens of another EU member state, up by 0.1 million year over year.

Germany, Spain, France and Italy host the largest numbers of third-country nationals, with 12.4 million, 6.9 million, 6.5 million and 5.4 million people respectively. Together, these four countries represent 69.7% of all third-country nationals in the EU while accounting for 57.8% of the bloc’s overall population.

Comparative Analysis Of National And Regional Statistics

In proportional terms, Luxembourg again leads, with third-country nationals making up 47.0% of its population. Malta reports 29.4% and Cyprus 24.8%. By contrast, Poland and Slovakia each record 1.2%, Romania 1.6%, Bulgaria 2.3% and Hungary 2.7%.

Looking at EU citizens residing in another member state, Luxembourg also ranks first at 35.8%, followed by Cyprus at 10.1% and Austria at 10.0%. Several countries show minimal intra-EU mobility, including Poland and Lithuania at 0.1%, Latvia at 0.2%, Romania at 0.3%, Bulgaria at 0.5%, Croatia at 0.6%, Slovakia at 0.7% and Hungary at 0.9%. In Estonia and Latvia, figures are influenced by a sizable population of recognized non-citizens, primarily former Soviet Union nationals who reside permanently without obtaining additional citizenship.

Conclusion: Navigating A Changing Demographic Landscape

These demographic developments highlight both opportunities and policy challenges for the European Union. Rising numbers of foreign-born residents and third-country nationals are prompting renewed attention to integration strategies, labor markets and long-term population planning as member states seek to balance economic growth with social stability.

European And North American Cities Dominate Oxford Economics’ 2026 Index

European and North American cities dominate Oxford Economics’ 2026 Global Cities Index, taking 78 of the top 100 positions. Europe accounts for 44 cities, while the U.S. has 30 and Canada has four.

The index assesses the world’s largest cities across economics, human capital, quality of life, environmental conditions and governance.

London, Paris And New York Lead Major Cities

London ranks second globally, followed by Paris in third, Dublin in sixth and Zurich in 10th. Five U.S. cities, New York, Seattle, San Francisco, Boston and San Jose, also place in the global top 10.

U.S. cities generally score strongly on economics and human capital, while European cities perform better in quality of life, environmental conditions and governance, according to Liam Sides, director of City Services at Oxford Economics.

London stands out among European cities with the index’s highest human-capital score, although its quality-of-life score of 77 is its weakest category.

Housing Costs Remain A Common Challenge

High housing costs weigh on quality-of-life scores in London, Dublin and New York. More affordable cities such as Toulouse can attract workers from larger, more expensive urban centers.

Dublin climbed seven places to sixth, while Warsaw recorded Europe’s biggest rise, jumping 109 places to 61st. Istanbul rose 42 places to 64th, while Madrid and Budapest gained 14 places each.

Not all major cities improved. Rome fell eight places to 119th, while Lisbon dropped 44 places to 148th.

Five European Cities To Watch

Oxford Economics highlighted Warsaw, Tallinn, Eindhoven, Manchester and Toulouse as European cities to watch.

Warsaw’s economy is forecast to grow by about 3% annually over the next five years, nearly twice the European-city average. Tallinn is expected to record the strongest GDP growth among major EU cities over the next decade, supported by technology and professional services.

Eindhoven remains a major research and advanced-manufacturing center, with more than 5,000 high-tech and knowledge-based companies in its Brainport cluster. Manchester has recorded the strongest GDP and productivity growth among UK cities since 2010, while Toulouse continues to benefit from its aerospace industry and relatively lower living costs.

AI Is Reshaping Urban Growth

AI is increasingly influencing the economic prospects of cities with strong technology and advanced-manufacturing industries. London benefits from its universities and digital economy, while Eindhoven combines AI with advanced manufacturing and Tallinn has relatively high AI adoption among Central and Eastern European peers.

Outside Europe and North America, Taipei climbed 12 places to 48th, Kuala Lumpur rose 14 places to 65th and Shenzhen entered the top 100 at 93rd. Oxford Economics also expects cities such as Shenzhen and Bengaluru to benefit from AI and other emerging technologies if innovation translates into productivity gains.

Asia Gains Ground

Europe and North America continue to dominate the index, but Asian cities are becoming increasingly important drivers of urban economic growth.

By 2050, Chinese and Indian cities are forecast to account for a larger share of global-city GDP than Europe. Shanghai’s economy is expected to overtake San Francisco’s next year, while Ho Chi Minh City is projected to approach Berlin’s economic size by 2050.

The 2026 index therefore shows continued strength among established European and North American cities alongside faster growth in several Asian urban centers.

eCredo
The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties
Aretilaw firm
Uol

Become a Speaker

Become a Speaker

Become a Partner

Subscribe for our weekly newsletter