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EU Agricultural Sector Sees Continued Decline In Output Value In 2024


The European Union’s agricultural sector experienced a modest contraction in 2024, with the overall output value declining by 0.9 percent from the previous year, according to Eurostat. This marks the second successive year of a downturn since the sector reached its peak output value in 2022.

Overview Of The Sector Performance

The total value of agricultural output for the EU in 2024 was reported at €531.9 billion in basic prices, down from €536.7 billion in 2023. Analysts attributed this decline primarily to a 1.8 percent drop in nominal prices for agricultural goods and services, despite a modest 1.0 percent increase in the volume of output.

Country-Specific Developments

While output values rose in 15 EU countries, notable increases were recorded in Ireland (8.9 percent), Croatia (8.8 percent), and Sweden (5.0 percent). In contrast, significant contractions occurred in France, Romania, and Bulgaria, with declines of 9.0 percent, 8.5 percent, and 8.0 percent respectively, underscoring divergent regional performance across the bloc.

Sectoral Contributions And Trends

Crops accounted for approximately half of the total output (50.3 percent or €267.7 billion), although this segment experienced a 3.1 percent decrease from 2023. Conversely, animal and animal product outputs, representing 41.1 percent of the total value at €218.8 billion, saw growth of 1.9 percent. The remaining 8.5 percent of the total value was derived from agricultural services and secondary activities, which registered a slight decline of 0.6 percent, totaling €45.4 million.

Improved Efficiency And Value Addition

The report also noted a 3.7 percent decline in non-investment agricultural input costs, or intermediate consumption, which amounted to €303.3 billion in 2024. This reduction, combined with shifts in the output values, led to a 3.1 percent increase in the gross value added by the agriculture sector, ultimately rising to €228.6 billion. Such dynamics highlight the sector’s ongoing efforts to enhance overall efficiency and value creation amidst challenging market conditions.


US–Israel Confrontation With Iran To Trigger Significant Decline In Middle Eastern Tourism

Tensions linked to the confrontation between the United States, Israel and Iran are expected to affect tourism across the Middle East. According to estimates by Tourism Economics, international arrivals in the region could decline by between 11% and 27% by 2026. The projection, reported by Reuters, contrasts sharply with forecasts published in December that anticipated a 13% increase in arrivals this year.

Economic Implications Of Declining Visitor Numbers

Updated estimates indicate that the region could lose between 23 million and 38 million international visitors. Tourism-related spending may fall by $34 billion to $56 billion if the downturn materialises. Such figures illustrate how geopolitical instability can quickly influence travel demand and regional economic performance.

Erosion Of Traveller Confidence Amid Heightened Uncertainty

Growing security concerns are already weighing on travel sentiment. Periods of geopolitical tension typically lead travellers to postpone or redirect trips, particularly to destinations located near active conflict zones. As uncertainty increases, tourism-dependent economies in the region may face additional pressure on revenues and investment.

Cyprus: An Alert Regional Hub

Cyprus is closely monitoring these developments due to its geographic proximity to the Middle East. Although the island is not directly involved in the conflict, regional instability can influence booking trends and traveller perceptions. Recent security incidents near the British base in Akrotiri have further highlighted how tensions in neighbouring areas can affect confidence across the wider Eastern Mediterranean tourism market.

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