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Electricity Price Declines Sustain Negative Inflation Trends in September 2025

The recent decline in electricity prices has been a decisive factor in maintaining negative inflation levels for September 2025, according to the Statistical Service and the Consumer Protection Agency’s Price Observatory. Despite price increases in certain food categories, the consumer price index has remained negative for the fourth consecutive month.

Steady Annual Inflation And The Role Of Energy Costs

The annual inflation rate stood at -0.7% in September, equivalent to August’s figures, following -0.9% in July and -0.4% in June. A notable 11% reduction in electricity costs on an annual basis has been the key influence in preserving overall price stability, with petroleum products also reflecting a 2.7% decrease.

Differentiated Impact Across Economic Sectors

Comparisons with September 2024 reveal that the services sector experienced a 3% increase, while prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages dropped by 3%. Agricultural products decreased by 5%, despite a 3.5% rise from August 2025. Moreover, the Price Observatory recorded significant month-on-month increases for essential food items: frozen seafood and mollusks surged by 13.8%, fresh fish and mollusks by 12.7%, and fresh vegetables and greens by 9.5%. In contrast, fresh meat prices fell by 4%, with declines also noted for baby diapers (-2.4%), eggs (-1.8%), and breakfast cereals (-1.5%).

Enhanced Consumer Purchasing Power Through Energy Savings

The Consumer Protection Agency underscores that reduced energy costs—especially in electricity—have bolstered household purchasing power, mitigating the effects of isolated food price hikes.

Narrowing Price Gaps Across Supermarkets

An analysis of 228 common products across seven supermarket chains via the e-kalathi platform has shown a marked reduction in price differentials between premium and budget chains. In June 2025, the price gap was €230 (with prices at €990 and €760, respectively), narrowing to €147 by October (with prices at €961 and €814). For 40 common items, the price difference decreased from €43 on June 15 to €23 on October 15. The Agency advises consumers to use the e-kalathi tool for price comparisons, noting that price observatories serve as valuable informational resources rather than substitutes for personal market research.

Mercedes-Benz Posts Higher Profit Despite China Slowdown

Mercedes-Benz reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, lifting its shares on Tuesday despite mounting pressure from Chinese automakers and a weaker outlook for sales and revenue.

The earnings provided a boost for Europe’s auto sector, where manufacturers continue to grapple with tariffs, softer demand and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals. Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz and BMW have all accelerated restructuring efforts in response.

Cost Discipline Lifts Quarterly Profit

Mercedes-Benz shares rose as much as 5.9% following the results before trimming gains to trade 3.5% higher by 1118 GMT. The company reaffirmed its profit margin guidance for its core passenger car business after reporting an adjusted return on sales of 4.0% for the second quarter, above market expectations and within its 3% to 5% target range.

“In an environment where some automakers are ringing alarm bells on their competitive positioning, Mercedes delivered a clear and confident message,” Morningstar analyst Rella Suskin said.

Second-quarter operating profit increased 22% to €1.5 billion ($1.7 billion), despite a 3% decline in revenue. Lower administrative and research and development costs, together with strong performances from the financial services and vans divisions, supported earnings, while the results also included a €131 million gain related to the planned sale of leasing subsidiary Athlon.

China Remains The Key Pressure Point

Despite stronger profitability, Mercedes continues to face a challenging market environment. Sales in China fell 30% during the second quarter, prompting the company to abandon earlier expectations for stable car sales and group revenue. It now expects both to decline slightly from a year earlier.

BMW also lowered its outlook in June following a deeper-than-expected slowdown in China, highlighting the pressure facing Germany’s premium carmakers. At the same time, Mercedes said Chinese manufacturers are increasingly expanding into European markets, although Chief Executive Ola Kaellenius said their focus remains on higher-volume segments rather than the premium market.

“But that is not a reason to sit back and be relaxed,” he said.

Manufacturing Shift Continues

Mercedes is also reshaping its manufacturing footprint. The company said its German factories will undergo a more aggressive push toward leaner production, although it declined to provide further details while talks with labour representatives continue. Production is also being expanded in lower-cost Eastern European locations, including Hungary, where the company is increasing capacity at its Kecskemet plant, as well as in Poland.

Chief Financial Officer Harald Wilhelm said the full-year margin for the passenger car division is expected to come in at the lower end of the company’s guidance range, reflecting a higher share of electric vehicle sales in Europe, which remain more expensive to produce and continue to weigh on profitability.

“We must continue to work flat out to reduce costs so that we can remain competitive on the prices of our products,” Kaellenius said.

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