In June 2024, Cyprus experienced a slight improvement in economic sentiment, with the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI-CypERC) rising by 0.6 points compared to May. This uptick was largely driven by stronger consumer confidence and a minor boost in business confidence within the service sector.
According to the Economic Research Centre of the University of Cyprus, the Service Confidence Indicator improved due to better assessments of recent business performance and turnover. Conversely, the Retail Trade Confidence Indicator remained stable, with positive sales expectations balancing out poorer recent sales views.
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However, the Construction Confidence Indicator continued to decline for the second consecutive month, impacted by negative assessments of order book levels and reduced employment expectations. The Industry Confidence Indicator also saw a slight decrease, primarily due to less favourable views on current order book levels.
Notably, the Consumer Confidence Indicator rose again in June. Consumers showed a marked increase in their intention to make significant purchases in the coming months, alongside improved expectations regarding their financial situation and the general economic conditions in Cyprus.
Despite these positive trends, the report noted a rise in economic uncertainty, driven by the increased difficulty consumers and service firms faced in predicting their financial situations. Nonetheless, the level of economic uncertainty in June remained lower than that observed in the first four months of 2024.
These findings underscore the cautious optimism prevailing in Cyprus’s economic landscape, highlighting the nuanced challenges and opportunities faced by businesses and consumers alike. The slight increase in economic sentiment reflects a complex interplay of factors, pointing to a cautiously optimistic outlook for the near future.
