ECB Wage Tracker Signals Stable Wage Pressures And Moderate Growth Through 2026

The European Central Bank has published an updated wage tracker showing that negotiated wage pressures remain stable. Based on agreements signed through the end of May 2026, negotiated wage growth is expected to reach around 2.6% by December.

Quarterly And Yearly Dynamics

The headline indicator, which smooths one-off payments to reflect quarterly and monthly developments, points to wage growth of 3.2% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026. For 2026, average growth is estimated at 1.8% in the first quarter and 2.1% in the second quarter before accelerating to 2.6% in the final two quarters of the year.

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Mechanical Effects And Forecast Nuances

According to the ECB, annual growth figures are still influenced by one-off payments made in 2024 but not repeated in 2025. Their impact is expected to gradually fade during 2026. Excluding the smoothing effect, the tracker points to negotiated wage growth of 3.0% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026. Removing one-off payments altogether results in a decline from 3.8% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2026, indicating slower growth in base wages.

Employee Coverage And Forward-Looking Projections

Coverage data currently available for 2026 shows that employees included in the tracker accounted for 46.4% in the first quarter. That share falls to 44.8% in the second quarter, 41.1% in the third quarter, and 40.4% in the final quarter of the year. The current release extends to December 2026. Additional collective agreements included in the July 2026 update are expected to expand the horizon to the first quarter of 2027.

Caveats And Broader Context

The ECB said the tracker is subject to revision and should not be viewed as a formal forecast. Instead, it reflects information available from active collective bargaining agreements. For a broader picture of wage developments across the euro area, the central bank referred to the June 2026 Eurosystem Staff Macroeconomic Projections, which forecast compensation growth per employee of 3.2% in 2026.

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Eurobank Launches First UPI Cross-Border Payment From Greece To India

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

July 10, 2026

Eurobank has launched its first cross-border payment from Greece to India through the Unified Payments Interface (UPI), marking a new step in the bank’s international expansion and its strategy to strengthen financial ties between Europe and India.

The transaction, completed in cooperation with NPCI International, follows the launch of Eurobank’s new payment service. The inaugural payment was made in the presence of India’s Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal, Eurobank Chief Executive Fokion Karavias and senior executives from NPCI International.

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A Strategic Bet On India’s Digital Payments Ecosystem

According to Eleftherios Vlachogiannis, Eurobank’s head of transaction banking, the service currently supports outgoing payments by Indian citizens living in Greece to recipients in India, representing the first phase of a broader collaboration with NPCI International.

UPI is operated by NPCI International. By integrating the system into its e-banking platform and mobile app, Eurobank enables customers to make real-time transfers.

“The most important aspect is the philosophy behind the initiative,” Vlachogiannis said. “Instead of creating another closed payment system, we are integrating mature and internationally recognised payment ecosystems into the bank’s services so customers enjoy a simple, secure and modern transaction experience.”

He added: “Innovation creates value when it delivers a genuine benefit for the customer.”

Building A Financial Bridge Between Europe And India

The UPI launch follows Eurobank’s opening of a representative office in Mumbai, making it the first Greek and Cypriot bank with a physical presence in India. The bank has also expanded its presence through the India-Greece-Cyprus Business and Investment Council, a technology centre in Pune and partnerships with Indian institutions.

Vlachogiannis said India’s economic growth and closer ties with the European Union support the bank’s long-term strategy. He also pointed to progress in negotiations on the EU-India Free Trade Agreement.

Mumbai Office Serves As A Regional Business Hub

Eurobank’s Mumbai office supports businesses seeking to establish operations between India, Greece, Cyprus and the wider European market. It provides access to banking services, business networks and market support.

For Greek companies expanding into India, the bank offers international payments, foreign exchange management, trade finance and supply chain finance. Indian businesses investing in Greece, Cyprus or elsewhere in the European Union can also access financing and corporate banking services through Eurobank.

Aiming To Strengthen The India-Europe Corridor

Looking ahead, Eurobank said it will continue investing in technology, international payments, trade finance and partnerships with Indian organisations.

“Our ambition is to act not only as a banking services provider but also as a strategic partner for businesses and investors seeking to benefit from the opportunities created by this dynamic market,” Vlachogiannis said.

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