ECB To Maintain Interest Rates As Economy Exhibits Resilience

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 14, 2025

Steady Policy Amid Subdued Inflation

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged during its December 18 meeting and maintain this stance through next year. This decision comes as inflation remains near the bank’s 2% target and economic growth shows unexpected strength.

Data-Driven Decisions

Recent reports indicate that Euro zone inflation edged up to 2.2% in November from 2.1% in October, yet has largely stayed anchored around the ECB’s target this year. Economic performance has averaged a growth rate of nearly 1.5% over the past two quarters, giving policymakers little reason to alter current rates following a previous cut of two percentage points.

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Consensus Among Experts

All 96 economists surveyed by Reuters from December 5-10 agree that the deposit rate will hold at 2% at the upcoming meeting. A robust majority – approximately 80% – expect that rates will remain steady through mid-2026, a view that has grown more pronounced compared to previous surveys.

Insights From Market Strategists

Bas van Geffen, Senior Macro Strategist at Rabobank (Rabobank), remarked, “The economy has been more resilient than we had anticipated. With inflation at target levels, there is currently no pressing need to adjust interest rates.” Similarly, ECB President Christine Lagarde has noted that the economy’s robust performance amidst global uncertainty may lead to upward revisions of growth projections, though monetary policy remains in a favorable position.

Looking Ahead

Market sentiment is reflected in interest rate futures, which now almost entirely discount further easing until mid-2026. Median forecasts suggest that inflation will dip to 2.1% this quarter and fall further to 1.7% in early 2026, remaining below the ECB’s target. While some analysts anticipate the possibility of rate cuts in response to any significant negative shocks, the prevailing view points towards stability with a reduced likelihood of hikes.

Risks and Projections

Fabio Balboni, Senior European Economist at HSBC (HSBC), highlighted that downside risks remain, noting that labor market trends and subdued stimulus effects in Germany could impact growth. With expectations for economic growth at 1.4% this year and 1.1% in 2026, the potential for rate cuts in 2026 has been acknowledged should the economic landscape change significantly.

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Cyprus Permit Delays Can Add €61,000 To The Cost Of A New Home

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

August 25, 2026

Housing affordability in Cyprus is being affected not only by property prices, construction costs and interest rates, but also by delays in securing planning and building permits. For developers, years of waiting can add millions of euros to project costs and tens of thousands of euros to the price of an individual home.

Property Prices And Rents Continue To Rise

House prices in Cyprus rose 3.4% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, according to Eurostat, leaving prices about 50% above their 2015 level. Rents have also continued to increase, with the Cyprus Statistical Service reporting annual growth accelerating from 2.5% in January to 4.5% in April.

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Strong demand and limited supply are adding pressure to both markets. Delays earlier in the development cycle can further restrict the number of homes reaching the market.

Four-Year Delay Adds €6.3 Million To Project Costs

A recent analysis by Yiannis Misirlis, chairman of the Cyprus Land and Building Developers Association, illustrates the financial impact. The example involves a 125-apartment project with €7 million allocated to land and an estimated €25 million for construction, bringing the initial cost to €32 million.

If permits are secured within six months, the average sale price would be about €307,000 per apartment. A four-year permitting delay, however, would add about €1.7 million in financing costs tied to the land, €800,000 in additional overheads and €3.8 million from construction cost inflation.

Combined, those costs would add about €6.3 million to the project without increasing the developer’s profit. The average apartment price would rise to about €368,000, adding roughly €61,000 to each unit.

Delays Also Affect Rental Supply

Higher development costs can affect renters as well as buyers. When projects are delayed, fewer homes enter the market over a given period, limiting supply while demand continues to grow.

Build-to-rent projects face the same pressures from land costs, financing, overheads and construction inflation. Developers may ultimately pass some of those additional costs through to rents.

Government Moves To Increase Housing Supply

Reducing permitting times would not require weaker planning controls or construction standards. More predictable approval timelines would instead allow developers and investors to plan projects with greater certainty and reduce the costs associated with prolonged delays.

The Ministry of Interior has introduced planning incentives and additional building coefficients that are expected to support the construction of more than 2,500 homes over the next two years. The measures are intended to increase housing supply in a market where demand remains strong.

Permitting Delays Have A Direct Financial Cost

For developers, longer approval periods increase financing and overhead costs while exposing projects to higher construction prices. Those costs can ultimately affect sale prices, rents and the number of homes that reach the market.

Cyprus’ housing affordability challenge therefore extends beyond land and construction costs. The time required to move a project from planning to construction can also determine how much buyers and renters eventually pay.

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