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ECB Maintains Interest Rates Until September

The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced its decision to maintain current interest rates until at least September 2024. This move reflects the ECB’s cautious stance in response to the ongoing economic situation, particularly concerning inflation and economic growth within the Eurozone. By holding off on any rate cuts, the ECB aims to ensure economic stability amidst fluctuating global economic conditions.Rates,

Economic Context and Future Projections

The ECB’s approach is driven by its dual mandate to manage inflation while fostering economic growth. Current economic indicators suggest that the ECB is prioritizing inflation control, recognizing the potential risks of premature rate cuts. The pause in rate adjustments provides the ECB with the flexibility to respond to economic changes without exacerbating inflationary pressures.

Market Reactions and Economic Implications

The financial markets have shown mixed reactions to this announcement. Some investors are concerned that maintaining higher interest rates might slow economic growth, while others see it as a prudent measure to keep inflation in check. The ECB’s strategy is to balance these concerns, ensuring that any future rate changes do not destabilize the economy.

Looking Ahead

The ECB’s decision to hold interest rates steady until September sets the stage for careful monitoring and assessment of economic conditions over the coming months. This period will be crucial for determining the next steps in the ECB’s monetary policy. The central bank will continue to analyze economic data, aiming to make informed decisions that support long-term economic stability and growth.

The upcoming review in September will be a significant point for the ECB, potentially guiding the future direction of its monetary policy. Stakeholders and analysts will be closely watching the ECB’s assessments and projections to gauge the future economic landscape.

Cyprus Tech Sector Propels Economic Growth and Reshapes Talent Landscape

Robust Economic Expansion

At the recent TechIsland Summit, Christophoros Anayiotos, Head of Deal Advisory at KPMG Cyprus, delivered a compelling assessment of the island’s burgeoning tech ecosystem. The 2024 report highlights that the technology sector now contributes 16% of Cyprus’ total Gross Value Added (GVA), up from 12.6% in the previous year. Overall, the sector’s economic impact is estimated at €8.5 billion, with direct contributions of €4.7 billion and an additional €3.8 billion generated indirectly.

Sectoral Contributions and Productivity

Using the Leontief Input-Output Model, the study covers key areas including ICT, professional scientific and technical activities, as well as tech-driven financial and insurance services. Notably, the ICT segment itself delivers €3.4 billion in direct GVA, while professional services and financial operations contribute €840 million and €505 million respectively. This horizontal spread of technological influence underscores the industry’s pivotal role in driving multifaceted business growth.

Resilience During Economic Downturns

Even amid challenging economic conditions, the tech sector has demonstrated remarkable resilience. In the pandemic-stricken year of 2020, while the broader Cypriot economy contracted by 3%, the ICT sector experienced a robust growth rate of 21%. This momentum accelerated further to a striking 38% growth in 2021, reinforcing technology’s role as a stabilizing economic force.

Divergent Trends in Employment

Anayiotos’ analysis reveals that the tech sector now sustains over 62,000 full-time equivalent jobs in Cyprus, with 45,900 direct and 16,300 indirect roles. For every €1 million in increased sector revenue, approximately 13 jobs are generated. Despite the overall employment surge, there has been a significant shift in workforce composition. In 2015, Cypriot nationals comprised 88% of ICT employees; by 2024, this figure dropped to 50%, with non-EU nationals accounting for 42% and other EU citizens 8% of the workforce.

Cyprus as an EU Leader in ICT

Cyprus now holds a prominent place in the EU, ranking second in the EU27 for ICT’s share of national GVA at 11.4%, a notable rise from 9.4% in 2023. Furthermore, the island leads the bloc in ICT GVA growth, posting a remarkable 347% increase between 2015 and 2024. With a top-five ranking in GVA per ICT employee—whereby each contributes approximately €130,000, compared to the EU average of €116,000—the country’s technology workforce has expanded at an annual growth rate of 12.1%, from 9,300 in 2015 to 26,000 in 2024.

Strategic Imperatives for Future Growth

Anayiotos emphasizes the need for strategic enhancements to sustain this expansion. Key recommendations include improving air connectivity, joining the Schengen Area to boost mobility, and attracting more international banking institutions. Additionally, introducing tax incentives designed to favor stock options is considered crucial in luring and retaining skilled talent. Addressing the limited capacity in private education is also vital to accommodating professionals relocating with families.

Investing in Talent and Digital Transformation

Looking forward, investments in education and digital upskilling remain paramount. There is a clear call for a national initiative aimed at promoting STEM careers, elevating the digital skills of both students and educators, and accelerating the digital transformation of public services. Moreover, streamlining legal procedures will be critical to improving the overall business climate and competitiveness.

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