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Double Economic Blow for Israel as S&P and Moody’s Downgrade Outlook

Israel’s economy has suffered a significant setback as both Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Moody’s, two of the world’s leading credit rating agencies, issued warnings that cast doubt on the country’s economic stability. The dual blow comes amidst rising concerns over Israel’s political landscape and its potential impact on the nation’s economic health.

S&P and Moody’s have each downgraded Israel’s outlook from stable to negative, pointing to increasing uncertainty driven by domestic political turbulence. These revisions could potentially raise the cost of borrowing for Israel, as investors factor in the increased risk associated with the country’s future economic prospects. Moody’s, in particular, highlighted the “political and social tensions” that could undermine economic reforms and long-term growth.

The current political crisis, marked by widespread protests and deep divisions over judicial reforms, has sent shockwaves through both the Israeli public and international observers. The ongoing unrest has raised concerns that political instability could stymie Israel’s traditionally resilient economy, which has been a standout in the Middle East due to its strength in sectors such as technology, defence, and innovation.

One of the primary concerns raised by the credit rating agencies is the potential weakening of institutional checks and balances, particularly in relation to the government’s push to overhaul the judicial system. Such reforms have triggered fears that Israel’s reputation as a stable and transparent democracy could be at risk, with potential negative implications for foreign investment and economic growth.

Despite these setbacks, Israel’s economy remains robust, with strong fundamentals in key sectors. The country has long been a hub for innovation, particularly in the technology industry, which continues to attract international investors. However, the downgrades from S&P and Moody’s send a clear message that political turmoil could jeopardise these advantages.

For Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government, these warnings represent a critical challenge. As the nation navigates this period of uncertainty, the administration will need to strike a delicate balance between political reforms and maintaining investor confidence. Failure to do so could result in further economic challenges, especially if international markets begin to question Israel’s long-term stability.

In the short term, the downgrades are a wake-up call for the Israeli government to reassess its political strategy and ensure that economic stability remains a priority. While Israel’s core industries continue to perform well, the political situation will need careful management to prevent long-term damage to the country’s economic reputation and global standing.

EU Moderates Emissions While Sustaining Economic Momentum

The European Union witnessed a modest decline in greenhouse gas emissions in the second quarter of 2025, as reported by Eurostat. Emissions across the EU registered at 772 million tonnes of CO₂-equivalents, marking a 0.4 percent reduction from 775 million tonnes in the same period of 2024. Concurrently, the EU’s gross domestic product rose by 1.3 percent, reinforcing the ongoing decoupling between economic growth and environmental impact.

Sector-By-Sector Performance

Within the broader statistics on emissions by economic activity, the energy sector—specifically electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply—experienced the most significant drop, declining by 2.9 percent. In comparison, the manufacturing sector and transportation and storage both achieved a 0.4 percent reduction. However, household emissions bucked the trend, increasing by 1.0 percent over the same period.

National Highlights And Notable Exceptions

Among EU member states, 12 reported a reduction in emissions, while 14 saw increases, and Estonia’s figures remained static. Notably, Slovenia, the Netherlands, and Finland recorded the most pronounced declines at 8.6 percent, 5.9 percent, and 4.2 percent respectively. Of the 12 countries reducing emissions, three—Finland, Germany, and Luxembourg—also experienced a contraction in GDP growth.

Dual Achievement: Environmental And Economic Goals

In an encouraging development, nine member states, including Cyprus, managed to lower their emissions while maintaining economic expansion. This dual achievement—reducing environmental impact while fostering economic activity—is a trend that has increasingly influenced EU climate policies. Other nations that successfully balanced these outcomes include Austria, Denmark, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Romania, Slovenia, and Sweden.

Conclusion

As the EU continues to navigate its climate commitments, these quarterly insights underscore a gradual yet significant shift toward balancing emissions reductions with robust economic growth. The evolving landscape highlights the critical need for sustainable strategies that not only mitigate environmental risks but also invigorate economic resilience.

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