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Dollar And Bitcoin Surge On Trump-Driven Momentum, While Euro And Yuan Weaken

The U.S. dollar hit a near four-month high on Tuesday as markets rallied on the prospect of favourable economic policies under Donald Trump’s incoming administration. Bitcoin, meanwhile, surged to an all-time peak, as Trump reaffirmed his vision for the U.S. to become the “crypto capital.”

The U.S. dollar index rose 0.16% to 105.59, nearing Monday’s high of 105.70. Kyle Rodda of Capital.com predicts Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by year-end if trends continue, driven by expectations of U.S. economic outperformance and potential aggressive trade policies.

Trump’s control over Congress, projected by Decision Desk HQ, bolsters his pro-business agenda. As a result, the market has cut the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December from 80% to 69%, given the inflationary risks tied to Trump’s tariff and immigration stances.

The euro, weakened by economic and political concerns, fell to $1.0642, its lowest since April, while the yuan dropped to a three-month low, trading at 7.2469 per dollar. Additionally, the Australian dollar, sensitive to China’s economic outlook, fell 0.33% to $0.65525, and the pound dropped to $1.2841 as markets anticipated UK employment data.

The euro also faces pressure from Germany’s internal politics, as Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s coalition faces calls for an early election, adding further uncertainty to the currency bloc’s economic outlook.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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