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DBRS Morningstar Confirms Cyprus ‘A’ Credit Rating With Stable Outlook

Confirmed Credit Rating Amid Economic Resilience

DBRS Morningstar reaffirmed the sovereign credit rating of the Republic of Cyprus at A with a stable outlook. The agency cited the country’s fiscal performance and economic growth outlook. The rating report notes that Cyprus’s real GDP is projected to grow by about 3.8% in 2025. Domestic demand and service exports are expected to support economic activity.

Regional Uncertainty And Its Impact

DBRS Morningstar said regional developments remain a potential risk for the Cypriot economy. The agency noted that rising tensions in the Middle East could affect economic activity in the region. Tourism, a key sector of the Cypriot economy, could be affected if instability continues. Higher global energy prices could also reduce household purchasing power and affect consumption.

Fiscal Strength And Institutional Reliability

The report highlights Cyprus’s recent fiscal performance. The government has recorded budget surpluses in recent years while public debt has continued to decline. DBRS Morningstar expects government debt to fall below 60% of GDP by 2025. The agency also noted the stability of the banking sector and Cyprus’s institutional framework as an EU member state. However, the report also highlighted structural challenges. These include the small size of the economy, reliance on services, low labour productivity and a current account deficit.

Leadership Confidence In Strategic Economic Policy

Key figures have lent their voices to the nation’s economic credibility. President Nikos Christodoulides underscored that maintaining the A rating amid multifaceted regional challenges is a robust vote of confidence in Cyprus’s economy. Finance Minister Makis Keravnos further emphasized that the nation’s substantial fiscal reserves and proactive economic planning provide a strong buffer against potential external shocks. This strategic outlook is expected to guide Cyprus in leveraging emerging opportunities while managing risks in an uncertain global landscape.

MENA Venture Capital Stable As International Investor Activity Shifts

A Data-Led Analysis Of Investor Behavior In A War-Affected Region

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa remained relatively stable one month after the escalation of regional conflict. Early data, however, indicate changes in investor behavior rather than immediate shifts in funding totals. Initial signals are visible in investor participation, capital allocation, and deal pipeline activity.

Venture Markets And The Lag In Response

Funding announcements reflect decisions made months earlier, meaning that today’s figures do not capture the full impact of current events. Investors typically adjust strategies gradually, signaling future shifts long before they are immediately visible in total funding numbers.

International Capital As The Key Pressure Indicator

Participation of international investors remains a key indicator across the MENA venture market. Global capital has historically accounted for a significant share of funding in the region. Following global interest rate increases, international participation declined through 2023. This shift was reflected in lower cross-border deal activity, more cautious capital deployment, and longer fundraising timelines.

Implications For The Broader Startup Ecosystem

Changes in international investor activity affect multiple parts of the startup ecosystem. A recovery in participation was recorded in 2024 and continued into 2025, supporting funding activity and cross-border investment. If uncertainty persists, potential effects include slower investment decisions, reduced cross-border engagement, and extended fundraising cycles. International capital also plays a role in supporting larger funding rounds and access to global networks.

Next Steps For Stakeholders

International capital represents one of several factors shaping venture activity in the region. Its movement often precedes changes in late-stage funding, startup formation, and exit activity. Investors, policymakers, and ecosystem participants rely on data and scenario analysis to assess these trends and adjust strategies.

For A Deeper Insight

Further analysis on venture activity, capital flows, and geopolitical impact across the region is available in the full MAGNiTT report.

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