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Cyprus’ Vulnerability To Pandemic Crisis: An In-Depth Analysis

Amid unprecedented support measures implemented across the European Union to mitigate the economic impacts of the COVID-19 crisis, Cyprus has emerged as one of the most vulnerable nations. Detailed analysis from the July 2024 issue of the “Review of Cypriot Economic Policy” reveals significant financial difficulties experienced by households during the pandemic.

Authors Maria Iliophotou and Nikoletta Pasiourtidou utilised data from the EU Survey of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) to explore factors contributing to these economic hardships. Their study indicates that employment profiles play a crucial role, with households containing unemployed or self-employed individuals, those in hospitality, and service sectors facing the highest risks.

Additionally, working-age households, immigrant families, larger households, and those with health issues exhibited increased financial strain. Key indicators included reduced household income and delayed payments on essential expenses such as rent or mortgage.

Comparative analysis within the EU identified Cyprus, alongside Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, and Malta, as particularly susceptible to the pandemic’s economic fallout. Despite various relief measures, the financial resilience of Cypriot households remains a pressing concern, underscoring the need for targeted policy interventions to bolster economic stability.

Employment Profiles and Economic Hardship

The study highlighted the correlation between employment status and financial vulnerability. Households with unemployed or self-employed individuals faced significant income reductions, exacerbating their financial instability. The hospitality and service sectors, heavily impacted by pandemic restrictions, saw widespread job losses and reduced working hours, further straining household budgets.

Demographic Factors Influencing Financial Strain

The analysis underscored that demographic factors such as age, immigration status, household size, and health conditions played a crucial role in financial vulnerability. Working-age households, especially those with young children, encountered heightened economic pressures. Immigrant families, often engaged in precarious employment, faced disproportionate economic challenges.

Impact on Household Income and Expense Management

The pandemic resulted in widespread income reductions across Cypriot households. Many families struggled to manage essential expenses, with significant delays in rent and mortgage payments. The financial strain was particularly acute among larger households, where the burden of multiple dependents exacerbated economic difficulties.

Comparative Vulnerability within the EU

When compared with other EU nations, Cyprus emerged as one of the most vulnerable to the economic impacts of the pandemic. Alongside Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, and Malta, Cyprus showed heightened susceptibility to financial distress, despite the implementation of relief measures. This comparative analysis highlighted the need for robust, targeted interventions to mitigate long-term economic repercussions.

Policy Recommendations for Enhancing Financial Resilience

To address these vulnerabilities, the study recommends comprehensive policy measures aimed at enhancing the financial resilience of Cypriot households. These include targeted support for unemployed and self-employed individuals, initiatives to stabilise the hospitality and service sectors, and programs to assist immigrant families and larger households. Furthermore, the study advocates for improved access to healthcare and financial services to support households with health issues.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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