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Cyprus Unemployment Declines as Labor Force Expands In Q2 2025

Labor Market Overview

Cyprus has witnessed a decrease in unemployment, with rates falling to 4.3 percent in the second quarter of 2025 from 4.6 percent a year earlier, according to the latest figures released by the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat). The total number of unemployed individuals decreased from 23,760 to 22,663, with both genders experiencing shifts in their respective counts.

Robust Growth in Labor Force Participation

The labor market saw significant expansion as the labor force increased to 528,981, representing 65.4 percent of the total population, up from 511,423 (65.1 percent) in the previous year. Participation rates revealed gender-specific dynamics, with 71.1 percent of men and 60.0 percent of women engaged in the labor force.

Employment Figures and Sector Analysis

Overall employment rose to 506,318, equating to an employment rate of 62.6 percent. Men comprised 269,796 workers (68.3 percent), and women accounted for 236,522 (57.2 percent). This marks an increase from 487,663 total employed persons recorded a year earlier. Sector-wise data highlighted that the majority of the workforce was employed in services (81.2 percent), while industry and agriculture accounted for 16.6 percent and 2.2 percent respectively, mirroring trends from the previous quarter.

Insights Into Age Demographics

Employment rates by age underscored improvements among prime working-age individuals. Those between 20 and 64 years reported an 81.7 percent employment rate, rising from 80.1 percent. Specifically, 87 percent of men and 76.5 percent of women in this group were employed. The employment rate for individuals aged 55 to 64 was 71.5 percent, reflecting a modest improvement from 71.1 percent during Q2 2024.

Working Arrangements and Shifts in Employment Structure

The majority of employed individuals (90.6 percent) held full-time positions, while part-time employment accounted for 9.4 percent—an increase from 8.9 percent the previous year. Employees dominated the workforce with 90 percent overall, where permanent positions made up 85.7 percent and temporary roles represented 14.3 percent. Additionally, self-employment remained stable at 10 percent, indicating a consistent segment of the labor market.

Youth Unemployment And Duration Trends

Despite overall positive trends, youth unemployment remains a concern with 14.9 percent of individuals aged 15–24 out of work, marking an increase from 14.2 percent in the comparable quarter of 2024. For the broader age group of 25–64, unemployment eased to 3.7 percent from 4.1 percent. Additionally, a detailed look at the duration of unemployment revealed that 55.9 percent of job seekers had been unemployed for less than six months, 23.0 percent for six to eleven months, and long-term unemployment declined markedly to 21.1 percent from 34.5 percent previously.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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