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Cyprus Tax Reform Set To Evolve: Coalition Amendments Reshape Fiscal Landscape

Overview Of The Evolving Tax Reform

The initial approval of the tax reform appears imminent, yet coalition parties are actively pushing for additional amendments beyond the agreed-upon changes aimed at easing household tax burdens. While core modifications by the coalition have found consensus, several extra proposals promise to reshape the reform significantly.

Agreed-Upon Adjustments And Their Fiscal Impact

Since the introduction of draft bills in July and subsequent public consultations, approximately 30% of the reform’s content has been modified through discussions between the government and various stakeholders in Parliament. The majority of these adjustments are welcomed by the Ministry of Finance despite concerns about other proposed modifications.

The key agreed changes, which will impose an additional fiscal cost of €110 million on state coffers, include:

  • An increase in the tax-free allowance to €22,000.
  • Adjustment of income thresholds required to qualify for further deductions, varying according to family composition – for instance, a single child qualifies for these thresholds at an income of €90,000; the thresholds rise to €100,000, €150,000, and €200,000 for two, three or four, and five or more children, respectively.
  • Enhanced allowances for taxpayers paying rent for children and students, with deductions ranging from €1,000 to €1,500 based on the number of dependents.
  • An increase in deductions to €2,000 for interest on housing loans and rental expenses.
  • A revised tiered taxation structure: incomes between €22,001 and €32,000 will be taxed at 20%, incomes from €32,001 to €42,000 at 25%, incomes from €42,001 to €72,000 at 30%, and amounts over €72,001 at 35%.

Additional measures include a €1,000 incentive for green investments in residential properties (such as photovoltaic systems) and for the purchase of electric vehicles, as well as the anticipated elimination of the stamp duty fee in line with the coalition’s joint proposal.

Controversial Amendments And Risks Of Non-Taxation

Among the more contentious proposals is the non-taxation of investment activities conducted by welfare funds, set at a rate of 15%. Despite reservations from the Ministry of Finance, which argues that uniform taxation is essential for fair competition, coalition parties defend this amendment by citing that the resulting benefits primarily accrue to fund members. A memorandum from the State Aid Control Office warns that continued non-taxation could expose the nation to challenges from Brussels.

Corporate And Wealth Tax Proposals

The Democratic Rally (DI SY) has advanced several technocratic amendments aimed at clarifying legislation on corporate taxation. Notable proposals include:

  • Eliminating the tax relief on additional income so that such income is definitively taxed by the Tax Authority.
  • Exempting companies from the mandatory study of intra-group transactions to reduce administrative burdens, particularly for significant service purchases (over €2.5 million), goods acquisitions (€5 million), and financial transactions (€10 million).
  • Raising capital gains tax exemptions for property sales – for instance, increasing the exemption to €50,000 for agricultural land, €150,000 for primary residences, and €450,000 for commercial properties.
  • Opposing a clause that compels property buyers to certify the absence of any tax liabilities, which DI SY argues would unnecessarily elevate administrative costs.
  • Calling for clearly defined conditions under which tax confidentiality can be waived by the Tax Authority, possibly requiring oversight by the Chief Public Prosecutor.

Meanwhile, AKEL is championing measures to tax wealth through luxury levies. Their proposals include raising the tax-free threshold to €22,500 and instituting higher rates for top earners – 35% for incomes between €72,000 and €102,000, and a steep 45% for earnings exceeding €102,000. They also advocate for measures such as a 0% VAT on essential additional goods and a tiered surcharge on high-value property and corporate assets, with pending legislation on banking super-profits and renewable energy firms.

Sector-Specific Modifications: ELaM And The Ecologists

ELaM has put forward amendments to extend tax allowances for dependent children until the age of 25, remove income limits based on the number of children, and allow the transfer of unused allowances between spouses when one’s income is below €20,500. Additionally, proposals concerning the agricultural sector aim to exempt farmers from certain levies.

The Ecologists have suggested further relaxations, notably increasing exemptions on capital gains – raising the exemption for the sale of a residence to €30,000 (from €20,000), for agricultural plots to €50,000 (from €30,000), and for main residences to €150,000 (from €100,000). They also recommend that rental payments be processed via bank transfers for tax recording purposes and propose adjustments to tax brackets to better reflect modern income distributions.

Next Steps In The Legislative Process

A parliamentary committee on economic affairs is scheduled to reconvene on Thursday and Friday to deliberate on these supplementary amendments. The comprehensive draft of the tax reform is expected to be submitted for final approval on the 22nd of this month, marking a critical juncture in the nation’s fiscal policy overhaul.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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