Cyprus Sets New Benchmark In European Labour Markets Amid Talent Shortages

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

September 25, 2025

Record Low Unemployment Spurs Economic Confidence

Cyprus has reached an economic milestone as its unemployment rate fell to 3.7 percent in April 2025, marking an impressive 27.5 percent decrease from the previous year. This achievement, the sharpest decline among EU nations, positions Cyprus third-lowest within the Eurozone. Employment surged by 16,400, bringing the total number of employed individuals to 493,272 while the unemployed pool contracted significantly from 29,102 to 26,161. Eurostat data underscores the nation’s robust recovery, highlighting its economic resilience in a challenging global landscape.

Intensifying Competition For Human Capital

However, this success has precipitated a new challenge. As the labour pool tightens, businesses, particularly in tourism-centric locales and sectors such as retail, construction, hospitality, and financial services, are facing mounting difficulties in sourcing qualified personnel. This labour market dynamic is evidenced by a significant drop in the number of registered unemployed individuals—from 29,102 to just 8,118—a reflection of the growing scarcity of available talent.

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Retail Sector Redefines Recruitment Strategies

The retail industry, notably supermarkets, now finds itself embroiled in a dual battle: competing for consumer spending while simultaneously vying for scarce talent. What was once viewed as an entry-level position has upwardly evolved into a competitive career opportunity. In response, leading chains are recalibrating their employment packages to include enhanced salaries, improved working conditions, and benefits such as a 14th salary. A notable case is that of a Greek-owned supermarket chain in Cyprus which has become a preferred employer by integrating public sector-like incentives into its compensation structure.

Human Capital As A Strategic Cornerstone

The shift in the labour market has empowered employees, granting them increased bargaining power. Recognizing that talent retention is more cost-effective than recurrent hiring and training, businesses are channeling investments into cultivating a vibrant workplace culture, robust employee development frameworks, and long-term incentive schemes. This strategic focus on human capital is emerging as a critical differentiator in an era where workforce stability underpins sustainable growth.

Adapting To A New Economic Reality

The transition from a surplus of labour to acute scarcity is reshaping Cyprus’ economic landscape. For retail executives and business leaders, the imperative is clear: innovate not just in product strategy but also in the cultivation of workforce excellence. In today’s competitive environment, the employer brand is proving to be as vital as the consumer brand, underscoring the role of strategic human capital management in driving long-term success.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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