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Cyprus Sets Cap On Third-Country Students In Private Higher Education Institutions

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

July 25, 2024

In a significant policy shift, the Cypriot government has implemented a cap on the number of students from non-EU countries enrolled in private higher education institutions. This new regulation, ratified by the Cabinet, aims to strike a balance between attracting international talent and maintaining educational standards while ensuring adherence to national immigration policies. Effective from the academic year 2024-2025, the cap targets private institutions with high international-student ratios, reflecting Cyprus’ commitment to sustainable growth and quality education.

Rationale Behind the Cap

The decision to introduce this cap is multifaceted. Primarily, it aims to regulate the burgeoning number of international students to ensure that educational quality is not compromised. With a surge in third-country nationals seeking education in Cyprus, there has been growing concern about the capacity of private institutions to maintain high academic standards while accommodating an increasing number of students.

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Furthermore, this policy addresses immigration control, ensuring that the influx of students aligns with the country’s broader immigration and demographic strategies. By managing the number of international students, the government aims to streamline the integration process and avoid potential socio-economic imbalances.

Implementation and Impact

The cap will be enforced starting from the 2024-2025 academic year, giving institutions time to adjust their admission processes and align with the new regulations. The Ministry of Education, Sports, and Youth, in collaboration with the Ministry of Interior, will oversee the implementation, ensuring compliance and providing support to institutions during the transition period.

Institutions with a high proportion of third-country students will need to reassess their recruitment strategies and may need to diversify their student base. This shift could lead to enhanced collaboration with EU countries and increased efforts to attract students from within the European Union.

Broader Implications for the Education Sector

This policy is expected to have several implications for the Cypriot education sector. For one, it may prompt private institutions to invest more in facilities, faculty, and resources to attract a diverse student body and maintain competitive standards. Additionally, the cap could encourage a more balanced distribution of international students across various institutions, promoting healthy competition and innovation in the education sector.

Moreover, the cap is part of Cyprus’s broader strategy to enhance the quality of higher education, making it a more attractive destination for high-calibre students globally. By ensuring that private institutions can offer top-notch education without being overwhelmed by numbers, Cyprus aims to solidify its reputation as a hub for quality higher education.

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Citigroup Raises Eurobank Target Price Following Strong Q1 Results

Revised Target Price Reflects Strengthened Outlook

Citigroup raised its target price for Eurobank to €5.00 from €4.70 while maintaining a buy recommendation following the bank’s first-quarter results and upgraded medium-term profitability outlook. Based on Eurobank’s reference share price of €3.72 on May 15, 2026, Citigroup’s revised target implies upside potential of 34.4%, rising to 38.5% when the estimated dividend yield of 4.1% is included.

Enhanced Earnings And Comprehensive Forecasts

The upgraded analysis from Citigroup, as reported by Newmoney, points to bolstered momentum in net interest income and fee generation. The investment bank has revised its normalized earnings per share forecasts upward: 4% for 2026, 9% for 2027, and 14% for 2028, primarily driven by higher expected net interest income and increased commissions.

Scenario Analysis Offers Range Of Outcomes

Citigroup’s bullish scenario values Eurobank shares at €6.10, implying potential upside of 64%. Its downside scenario projects a share price of €3.55, approximately 4.6% below the May 15 reference level. The optimistic case assumes a return on tangible equity one percentage point higher, alongside a 100 basis point reduction in the cost of equity. Meanwhile, the negative scenario assumes a 1.5 percentage point lower return combined with a 200 basis point increase in the cost of equity.

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Solid Q1 Results Support Growth Targets

Eurobank reported normalized net profits of €351 million during the first quarter, broadly in line with market expectations. Reported net profit reached €331 million after a €35 million expense linked to a voluntary exit programme involving around 200 employees. The programme is expected to generate annual savings of approximately €14 million. Net interest income increased 3% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding consensus forecasts by 2% and supporting expectations that the bank could surpass its €2.6 billion target for 2026.

Looking Ahead: Ambitious Growth And Profitable Outlook

Organic loan growth reached €1.1 billion during the quarter, supporting management’s target for €3.8 billion in annual organic credit expansion. Fee income also rose 20% year-on-year, outperforming forecasts by 4%. Citigroup projects Eurobank’s net profit will reach €1.45 billion in 2026, with earnings per share of €0.40 and a dividend of €0.20 per share.

By 2028, the bank forecasts net profit of €1.76 billion alongside further improvement in profitability metrics and dividend yield. The revised projections reinforce expectations that Eurobank will continue benefiting from stronger lending activity, resilient fee income and improving operational efficiency.