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Cyprus Sees Annual Harmonised Inflation Rise To 3%

Cyprus has experienced a notable increase in its harmonised inflation rate, which rose by 3.0% on an annual basis from May 2023 to May 2024. The data, released by the Statistical Service of the Republic of Cyprus, also indicated a month-to-month rise of 1.2% between April and May 2024. Furthermore, for the first five months of 2024, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) increased by 2.2% compared to the same period in the previous year.

Analysing the Implications of Rising Inflation

This inflationary trend highlights several key economic dynamics. Firstly, the consistent rise in prices across a broad spectrum of goods and services reflects underlying pressures within the Cypriot economy. The increase in the HICP is significant as it measures price stability and inflationary trends in a manner that is harmonised across EU member states, allowing for a more accurate comparison of economic conditions.

Economic Drivers and Sectoral Impacts

The inflation rate is influenced by multiple factors including global energy prices, domestic demand, and supply chain constraints. In Cyprus, energy prices have been a substantial driver, compounded by global uncertainties and regional market dynamics. Additionally, the rebound in consumer demand post-pandemic has exerted upward pressure on prices, affecting sectors such as housing, utilities, and transportation.

Competition Authority Launches Comprehensive Review of ExxonMobil Cyprus Acquisition

Investigation Initiated Over Strategic Acquisition

The Competition Protection Authority has commenced a thorough investigation into the acquisition of ExxonMobil Cyprus Limited’s share capital by Petrolina Holdings Public Ltd through Med Energywise Ltd. This inquiry was formally initiated following a session held on 10 September 2025, after an in-depth review of the pertinent report by the Authority’s Service.

Concerns Over Market Compatibility

Authorities have expressed serious concerns regarding the compatibility of the transaction with established competitive practices. The review indicates that the acquisition may affect several critical petroleum markets, both horizontally and vertically, thereby raising the potential for adverse impacts on market dynamics.

Horizontal Market Dynamics

On the horizontal front, potential effects have been identified in the import market for petroleum products, as well as in both wholesale and retail distribution channels of these products. The consolidation is believed to increase the risk of price rises and coordinated actions, given the direct competitive proximity between Petrolina and ExxonMobil.

Vertical and Adjacent Market Implications

Vertical aspects of the merger are also under close scrutiny. The new entity could restrict competitors’ access to critical infrastructure such as storage facilities, supply channels, and customer bases. These restrictions could further affect the onshore distribution of fuels, the wholesale market for lubricants, and specialized technical services connected with fuel station operations.

Local Market Considerations

Particular attention is being paid to the potential concentration in the retail fuel market. The investigation suggests that a reduced competitive landscape within a four-kilometer radius of the companies’ fuel stations could lead to diminished local competition, adversely impacting consumer prices and options.

Next Steps and Industry Impact

The Competition Protection Authority, which reached a unanimous decision to pursue a full investigation, remains open to submissions from parties that might be affected by this transaction, as mandated by current legislation. A final decision is expected within four months upon receipt of all necessary evidence, potentially setting a significant precedent for future market consolidation cases in the energy sector.

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