Cyprus Removed from EU’s Macroeconomic Imbalance List – What This Means

by News Editor

June 5, 2025

EU Lifts Cyprus from Macroeconomic Imbalance List

Breaking News: The European Commission’s 2025 Spring Package confirms that Cyprus is off the list of countries with macroeconomic imbalances. This achievement stems from a consistent decrease in external and private debt vulnerabilities, bolstered by solid economic growth.

Nevertheless, Cyprus still faces challenges in areas like innovation and the green transition. According to a senior EU official, “Economic growth in Cyprus remains robust despite a volatile global landscape.”

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Major improvements include public finances showing substantial surpluses and a swiftly declining public debt. Diversification efforts in Cyprus’ economy are finally yielding positive outcomes, complemented by enhanced performance across United Nations sustainable development indicators.

Yet, ten predominant challenges have been identified by the commission, warning of risks tied to increasing public expenditures and slight deviations from the fiscal trajectory set for 2025. A glaring issue is research and innovation investment, which falls short compared to the EU average, presenting a need for enhanced collaboration among universities, the financial sector, and businesses.

The commission suggests the development of Cyprus’s financial system beyond banking and emphasizes the need to raise financial literacy levels.

Moreover, Cyprus must intensify its push towards cleaner energy. The nation’s current over-reliance on fossil fuels and imported energy leaves it vulnerable. High electricity costs for domestic usage, alongside low environmental performance, underline the urgency for these reforms.

Notably, Cyprus stands as a low investor in climate change adaptation when set against the EU norm. Using resources from the Recovery and Resilience Facility, Cyprus could address these critical areas swiftly.

Looking to the future, Cyprus is urged to enhance its labor market conditions. Youth engagement in vocational training and education in STEM fields need nurturing to tackle skill mismatches.

Though recent economic achievements mark progress for Cyprus, the commission stresses the importance of continued vigilance and reform to ensure lasting stability and prosperity.

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European Central Bank Report Highlights Stable Inflation and Economic Outlook

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

October 29, 2025

Overview Of Inflation Trends

The latest European Central Bank survey shows a slight decline in median inflation expectations over the next 12 months, decreasing from 2.8% in August to 2.7% in September. Despite this minor adjustment, consumer perceptions of past 12-month inflation have held steady at 3.1% for the eighth consecutive month. Long-term projections for three- and five-year inflation remain stable at 2.5% and 2.2% respectively.

Consumer Expectations Drive Income And Spending Projections

Across the board, expectations for nominal income growth over the upcoming year have remained consistent at 1.1%. However, there is a noticeable shift in spending behavior: while perceived nominal spending growth for the past year slipped slightly to 4.9% from 5.0%, expectations for spending growth over the next 12 months rose to 3.5%. Notably, lower income groups continue to forecast marginally higher spending increases compared to their higher income counterparts.

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Stability In Economic And Labour Market Outlook

Economic growth expectations are modestly pessimistic, with respondents forecasting a contraction of -1.2% over the next 12 months. Concurrently, anticipated unemployment levels remain unchanged at 10.7% a year ahead, though the outlook varies by income, with lower income households expecting unemployment rates as high as 12.7%, while higher income groups maintain expectations around 9.4%. Overall, the slight difference between current and future unemployment suggests a broadly stable labor market outlook.

Housing Market And Credit Conditions

The survey also reveals an upswing in expectations related to the housing market. Home price growth expectations have edged higher to 3.5%, and anticipated mortgage interest rates have risen modestly to 4.6%. Similar to other metrics, expectations vary by income, with lower income households expecting higher mortgage rates. In recent months, a marginal decline in reported credit tightening over the past 12 months contrasts with a renewed forecast of tighter credit conditions in the forthcoming year.

Conclusion

The ECB’s latest findings underscore the delicate balance between stable long-term economic forecasts and short-term adjustments in consumer expectations. The slight dips in inflation expectations, alongside stable perceptions of past inflation, delineate a marketplace that is both cautious and measured. As income, spending, and housing market metrics continue to evolve, these indicators provide critical insights for policymakers and investors navigating an increasingly complex economic landscape.

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