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Cyprus Q3 2025 Fiscal Review: Surplus Shrinks Amid Revenue Gains And Rising Expenditure

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 23, 2026

Government Surplus And Revenue Overview

Cyprus reported a general government surplus of €653.6 million in the third quarter of 2025, marking a decrease from the €871.0 million surplus recorded during the same period in 2024. This figure, derived from preliminary results released by Cystat, encapsulates fiscal performance for the July–September 2025 period.

Incremental Revenue Performance

Notwithstanding the lower surplus, total government revenue increased by €104.2 million (2.6%), reaching €4.10 billion compared to €3.99 billion in the corresponding quarter of 2024. The growth was driven by several key factors:

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Social contributions surged by €62.5 million (5.7%), up to €1.15 billion.
Taxes on income and wealth experienced a modest increase of €10.9 million (0.8%), totalling €1.30 billion.
Taxes on production and imports climbed by €7.1 million (0.6%), with net VAT revenue alone rising by €40.2 million (4.8%) to €886.4 million.
Additional gains were seen in property income receivable, which increased by €3.0 million (13.5%), and capital transfers, which grew by €6.0 million to €10.8 million.
Furthermore, revenue from the sale of goods and services advanced by €15.1 million (6.1%) to reach €260.9 million.

Escalating Expenditure Patterns

The fiscal report also reveals notable increases in public spending. Total government expenditure rose by €321.5 million (10.3%) to €3.45 billion in Q3 2025, up from €3.12 billion in the previous year. This expansion in spending is detailed as follows:

Social transfers increased by €97.8 million (7.9%) to €1.33 billion.
Employee compensation, which includes imputed social contributions and pensions for civil servants, rose by €50.5 million (5.6%) to €955.6 million.
Intermediate consumption saw a slight rise of €4.5 million (1.2%) to €382.0 million.
The capital account experienced a substantial upswing, jumping by €223.7 million (84.2%) to €489.3 million, reflecting enhanced capital formation and transfers.
Conversely, property income payable dropped by €26.1 million (25.7%) to €75.3 million, while other current expenditures and subsidies declined by €16.1 million (8.6%) and €12.6 million (25.3%) respectively.

Implications For Fiscal Policy

The mixed performance in key fiscal indicators highlights a nuanced picture. The increased revenue streams underscore a growing tax base and improved collection efficiency, yet the lower surplus and rising expenditures suggest a need for balanced fiscal strategies moving forward. Policymakers must address the challenges posed by escalating public spending while leveraging the gains in revenue to sustain long-term economic stability.

Conclusion

The Q3 2025 fiscal figures for Cyprus provide valuable insights into the country’s economic trajectory, offering both promising trends and critical areas for intervention. As decision-makers refine their fiscal policies, the interplay between revenue growth and expenditure management will remain central to Cyprus’s broader economic agenda.

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Cyprus Summer Bookings Fall Over 30% As Hospitality Sector Seeks Support

Pre-Bookings Decline In Cyprus Tourism Sector

Cyprus tourism stakeholders reported lower pre-bookings for the summer season compared with last year. Industry representatives, including hotel associations and unions, raised the issue during a meeting with Marinos Mousiouttas, Minister of Labor, noting that cancellations have stabilised while forward bookings remain below previous levels.

External Pressures And Travel Patterns

Several factors are affecting travel demand. Higher fuel costs have contributed to increased airfare prices, influencing travellers’ choices and shifting some demand toward alternative transport such as cruises, trains, and private vehicles. At the same time, adjustments in airline schedules, including route reductions, are affecting connectivity and booking flows.

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Calls For Government Support

Against this backdrop, industry representatives requested an extension of wage subsidy schemes through April and May. They also pointed to the need for broader measures to support the sector, as early booking activity has slowed and booking patterns are shifting toward last-minute reservations. Current reservations are reported to be more than 30% lower than a year earlier, while average hotel occupancy is around 40%, compared with previous levels closer to 80%.

Coordinated Government Response And Future Prospects

Christos Angelidis, General Director of PASYXE, said Marinos Mousiouttas, Minister of Labor, acknowledged the situation and will consult with other ministers on possible coordinated measures. Angelidis added that extending wage subsidy schemes could support business continuity during the current period and help stabilise conditions in the sector.

At the same time, the government has introduced a strategic plan focused on how Cyprus is positioned internationally. The initiative, developed with Invest Cyprus, aims to align messaging across tourism and investment, with emphasis on consistency in external communication. Victor Papadopoulos, Director of the President’s Office, said the approach is intended to highlight key characteristics of the country in international markets.

Looking Ahead

Current booking data and occupancy levels indicate a slower start to the season, while demand patterns are shifting toward shorter booking windows. At the same time, discussions between industry representatives and government bodies point to potential measures aimed at supporting the sector as the season progresses.