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Cyprus Presidency Of The EU Council: Steering Europe Toward Competitive And Autonomous Growth

Strengthening Competitiveness And Strategic Autonomy

The Cyprus Presidency of the EU Council is preparing to focus on strengthening Europe’s competitiveness, advancing strategic autonomy, and promoting sustainable and inclusive economic growth. Minister Michalis Damianos presented these priorities during the opening session of the Informal Meeting of EU Ministers for Competitiveness, held in Nicosia and dedicated to the internal market and industrial policy.

Navigating A Critical Juncture

Europe is entering a period marked by geopolitical uncertainty, energy challenges, rapid technological change, and increasing global competition. Against this backdrop, the Cyprus Presidency takes on its role at a sensitive time. Building on the work of previous presidencies, Cyprus aims to support policies that keep the European Union economically resilient and institutionally prepared for emerging risks.

Autonomy Through Competitiveness

Minister Damianos underlined that strategic autonomy is closely tied to economic strength. Strengthening the internal market and supporting European industry are seen as essential steps not only for economic stability but also for maintaining the EU’s global influence. The approach combines support for innovation with the transition toward greener and more digital economies.

Policy Priorities And Sectoral Focus

The meeting is structured around three main areas. One of the key topics is the development of the European defence industry, which is gaining importance across the Union and is viewed as a sector with growth potential even for smaller member states. Ministers are also reviewing the progress of the Compass of Competitiveness initiative, launched a year earlier, with discussions focused on identifying gaps and accelerating implementation.

Modernizing Consumer Policy

During a working session, the European Commission introduced the New European Consumer Policy Framework for 2025–2030, approved in November 2025. The framework is intended to guide consumer protection and market regulation efforts across the EU over the coming years.

Charting A Strategic Future

Opening remarks from Minister Damianos reiterated that improving competitiveness remains central to the Cyprus Presidency’s agenda. The discussions in Nicosia are expected to contribute to policy decisions that will shape the Union’s economic direction in the near term.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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