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Cyprus Prepares Economic Scenarios As Iran Conflict Raises Risks

Cyprus Finance Minister Makis Keravnos said the ministry is preparing multiple scenarios to address potential economic effects linked to the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Work focuses on assessing risks to inflation, energy costs, and broader economic activity.

Monitoring Developments In A Complex Regional Landscape

Keravnos said the ministry is monitoring developments and preparing responses based on evolving conditions. Measures remain under review as authorities assess potential economic impact.

Adaptive Policy Measures Under Consideration

Speaking after a meeting with Edek President Nikos Anastasiou, Keravnos said the ministry is evaluating a range of policy options. “At this moment, the finance ministry is processing scenarios, and we are monitoring developments,” he said. Questions were raised about possible fuel tax reductions, but Keravnos said no decisions have been made. “The measures have not yet been specified, but we are processing various scenarios,” he said.

Leveraging Experience In Crisis Management

Keravnos said the ministry is using previous experience from managing economic risks, including responses to regional conflicts. Monitoring and early policy planning have been part of the ministry’s approach over the past two years. Ongoing measures addressing cost-of-living pressures remain in place and form part of the current response framework.

An Evolving Response Strategy

Government response will depend on how the situation develops. Policy measures are expected to focus on supporting households and businesses while managing fiscal impact. The approach is based on monitoring data and adjusting policy tools as conditions change.

MENA Venture Capital Stable As International Investor Activity Shifts

A Data-Led Analysis Of Investor Behavior In A War-Affected Region

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa remained relatively stable one month after the escalation of regional conflict. Early data, however, indicate changes in investor behavior rather than immediate shifts in funding totals. Initial signals are visible in investor participation, capital allocation, and deal pipeline activity.

Venture Markets And The Lag In Response

Funding announcements reflect decisions made months earlier, meaning that today’s figures do not capture the full impact of current events. Investors typically adjust strategies gradually, signaling future shifts long before they are immediately visible in total funding numbers.

International Capital As The Key Pressure Indicator

Participation of international investors remains a key indicator across the MENA venture market. Global capital has historically accounted for a significant share of funding in the region. Following global interest rate increases, international participation declined through 2023. This shift was reflected in lower cross-border deal activity, more cautious capital deployment, and longer fundraising timelines.

Implications For The Broader Startup Ecosystem

Changes in international investor activity affect multiple parts of the startup ecosystem. A recovery in participation was recorded in 2024 and continued into 2025, supporting funding activity and cross-border investment. If uncertainty persists, potential effects include slower investment decisions, reduced cross-border engagement, and extended fundraising cycles. International capital also plays a role in supporting larger funding rounds and access to global networks.

Next Steps For Stakeholders

International capital represents one of several factors shaping venture activity in the region. Its movement often precedes changes in late-stage funding, startup formation, and exit activity. Investors, policymakers, and ecosystem participants rely on data and scenario analysis to assess these trends and adjust strategies.

For A Deeper Insight

Further analysis on venture activity, capital flows, and geopolitical impact across the region is available in the full MAGNiTT report.

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