Cyprus On Track For Robust Economic Growth: New Projections Reveal Positive Trends

by News Editor

March 27, 2025

In a significant update, credit rating agency Morningstar DBRS has revised its economic projections for Cyprus, showcasing a notably positive outlook for the nation’s economy.As per the latest forecasts, Cyprus is poised for a stronger economic trajectory, with the agency enhancing its 2025 GDP growth expectations by 0.3 percentage points, now anticipating a total expansion of 3.1%.

The unemployment figures also indicate good news, with predictions of a reduction to 4.9% in 2025—a 0.2 percentage point improvement from December’s forecast. This trend is expected to carry into 2026, maintaining a 4.9% rate.

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Compared to other European countries, Cyprus is projected to outpace the average growth rate, joining the ranks of nations like Denmark, Spain, and Malta in swift economic progression. The surge is attributed to robust net export growth, favorable domestic investment conditions, and increasing consumer demand. These are encouraging signs for anyone considering investing in Cyprus, especially with its reopened digital nomad visa applications.

Recent upgrades in Cyprus’ credit rating—from BBB (high) to A (low) with a positive outlook—underscore the resilience and potential of its economy. Key factors include significant debt reduction, with public debt expected to decline from 96.5% of GDP in 2021 to 56.7% by 2026, supported by strong economic growth and fiscal surpluses.

However, future improvements depend on sustained debt reduction and resilience against geopolitical and fiscal challenges. A potential downgrade might occur if public debt or banking liabilities rise sharply.

These forecasts highlight the optimistic economic atmosphere in Cyprus, making it an attractive spot for potential investments and financial activities.

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European Wage Trends: ECB Signals Slowing Growth Amid Persistent Labor Market Disparities

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

May 13, 2026

ECB Wage Tracker Reveals Diminishing Wage Momentum

The latest wage tracker published by the European Central Bank points to slower negotiated wage growth across the euro area over the next two years. According to the report, smoothed calculations that include one-off payments project wage growth slowing from 3.2% in 2025 to 2.3% in 2026. ECB estimates are based on wage agreements covering 51.3% of employees in 2025, with coverage expected to decline to 41.9% in 2026.

Methodological Insights And Economic Implications

The ECB noted that its headline wage tracker smooths bonuses, inflation compensation and other temporary payments over 12 months to provide a clearer view of monthly and quarterly wage developments. Unsmoothed calculations, meanwhile, show negotiated wage growth at 3.0% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026. When one-off payments are excluded entirely, projections indicate wage growth slowing from 3.8% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2026. According to the report, the easing trend largely reflects the fading impact of large one-time payments agreed during 2024, with their influence expected to diminish significantly by the end of 2026.

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Wage Growth Projections And Future Considerations

Quarterly projections published by the ECB show negotiated wage growth averaging 1.8% in the first quarter, rising to 2.1% in the second quarter and reaching 2.6% in the second half of the year. More moderate base wage increases compared with previous years are also reflected in the figures, particularly as the effect of non-recurring bonuses weakens. At the same time, the ECB cautioned that ongoing economic uncertainty could still lead to renewed use of one-off payments in future collective bargaining agreements.

Cyprus Wage Data: Bright Spots Amid Persistent Inequality

Separate data released by Cystat showed continued wage growth in Cyprus during 2025. Average monthly earnings reached €2,605, while the median monthly salary stood at €1,968. Differences between average and median earnings continued to highlight uneven income distribution and the influence of higher earners on overall wage data.

Closing the Gap: Gender And National Disparities

The Cystat report also showed continued wage disparities based on gender and nationality. Male employees recorded average earnings of €3,102 compared with €2,718 for female employees, although women experienced slightly faster annual wage growth. Differences were also evident between Cypriot and non-Cypriot workers. According to the data, 42.8% of Cypriot employees earned between €1,500 and €2,999 per month, while 47.7% of non-Cypriot workers earned less than €1,500. Non-Cypriot employees were also overrepresented in the highest income category above €6,000.

Outlook And Strategic Implications

The data point to moderating wage growth across the euro area while also highlighting persistent structural inequalities within labour markets. As collective bargaining negotiations continue evolving amid economic uncertainty, policymakers and employers are expected to remain focused on balancing wage growth, inflation pressures and labour market stability.

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