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Cyprus On Track For Robust Economic Growth: New Projections Reveal Positive Trends

In a significant update, credit rating agency Morningstar DBRS has revised its economic projections for Cyprus, showcasing a notably positive outlook for the nation’s economy.As per the latest forecasts, Cyprus is poised for a stronger economic trajectory, with the agency enhancing its 2025 GDP growth expectations by 0.3 percentage points, now anticipating a total expansion of 3.1%.

The unemployment figures also indicate good news, with predictions of a reduction to 4.9% in 2025—a 0.2 percentage point improvement from December’s forecast. This trend is expected to carry into 2026, maintaining a 4.9% rate.

Compared to other European countries, Cyprus is projected to outpace the average growth rate, joining the ranks of nations like Denmark, Spain, and Malta in swift economic progression. The surge is attributed to robust net export growth, favorable domestic investment conditions, and increasing consumer demand. These are encouraging signs for anyone considering investing in Cyprus, especially with its reopened digital nomad visa applications.

Recent upgrades in Cyprus’ credit rating—from BBB (high) to A (low) with a positive outlook—underscore the resilience and potential of its economy. Key factors include significant debt reduction, with public debt expected to decline from 96.5% of GDP in 2021 to 56.7% by 2026, supported by strong economic growth and fiscal surpluses.

However, future improvements depend on sustained debt reduction and resilience against geopolitical and fiscal challenges. A potential downgrade might occur if public debt or banking liabilities rise sharply.

These forecasts highlight the optimistic economic atmosphere in Cyprus, making it an attractive spot for potential investments and financial activities.

Cyprus Construction Price Index Rises Amid Cost Pressures

The latest data from the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat) shows that the Price Index of Construction Materials in Cyprus reached 118.89 points in January 2026, based on a 2021 average of 100. Compared with December 2025, the index increased by 0.12%, indicating gradual price adjustments across the sector.

Year-Over-Year Growth

On an annual basis, the index recorded a 1.09% increase compared with January of the previous year. The rise reflects ongoing changes in contractor costs and highlights evolving market conditions within the construction industry.

Commodity-Specific Movements

The report provides a detailed breakdown by material category. Minerals recorded the strongest annual increase at 2.91%, followed by electromechanical products at 2.55%. Products made from wood, insulation materials, chemicals and plastics rose by 1.19%, while mineral products increased by 0.97%. In contrast, metallic products declined by 0.49%.

Volatility In Sub-Categories

More pronounced changes were observed within specific sub-categories. Mineral aggregates rose by 8.34%, while stones increased by 4.97% compared with January 2025. Electrical fixtures posted a 4.65% increase. Iron and steel products declined by 1.73%, and ceramics and cement continued to trend lower, falling by 1.47% and 1.38% respectively.

Methodological Insights

The index is calculated as a weighted average based on the expenditure share of sampled materials during the 2021 base year. Prices are collected monthly from a range of suppliers, using the 15th of each month as the reference date and excluding VAT. The Construction Costs Index applies specifically to new residential buildings.

This detailed analysis not only sheds light on current market trends but also offers stakeholders a robust framework for understanding the underlying cost dynamics in Cyprus’s construction materials market.

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