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Cyprus Leads Eurozone In Card Payments As Digital Transactions Surge

Digital Transformation Accelerates In Cyprus

Cyprus has rapidly embraced digital payment methods, with card transactions now constituting 75 percent of total payment volume, the second-highest share in the eurozone after Portugal. According to data released by the Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC), this shift reflects both consumer demand for convenience and the influence of progressive regulatory frameworks.

Regulatory Impacts And Consumer Preferences

Despite the surge in digital transactions, cash and cheques remain present in the domestic payment landscape, although their use has been declining in recent years. The CBC noted that while Cypriots increasingly favor electronic methods, traditional payment instruments still play a local role. Regulatory initiatives, including the September 2021 mandate requiring retail and service-sector establishments to accept card payments, have further supported the digital transition.

Transaction Volumes And Payment Types

While cards lead in transaction volume, credit transfers exceed them in value. During the first half of 2025, credit transfers accounted for 84 percent of total transaction value, while cheques represented 6 percent. The number of payment cards in circulation increased by 7 percent year over year, reaching 2 million, or roughly two cards per resident. Debit cards remain predominant, significantly outpacing credit and post-paid alternatives.

Technology And Infrastructure In A Competitive Landscape

According to the European Central Bank’s report on consumer attitudes toward payments, Cyprus recorded one of the steepest declines in point-of-sale cash use among euro area countries and demonstrated high levels of digital processing for credit transfers, with 98 percent handled electronically. High-value online transactions average €125, compared with €37 in physical retail environments.

Enhanced Infrastructure And Sector Dynamics

The nation’s payment infrastructure is robust, with over 72 percent of ATMs offering contactless transactions compared to just 34 percent across the euro area. Self-service options remain essential, particularly for cash withdrawals and limited cashback services at retail points. Furthermore, the distribution of card payment values reveals that payment institutions capture 14 percent (€912m) of the total, followed by government payments at nearly 12 percent (€768m) and grocery transactions with an 11 percent share (€690m). Online channels dominate transactions toward governmental entities and payment institutions, whereas supermarket transactions predominantly occur in person.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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