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Cyprus Leading Economic Index Extends Decline Amid External Pressures

Cyprus’ Composite Leading Economic Index (CCLEI) remained in negative territory in June 2026, declining 0.65% year on year, according to the Economics Research Centre of the University of Cyprus (CypERC).

External Pressures Continue To Shape The Outlook

Although the index remained below its level a year earlier, CypERC said the pace of decline moderated in June, suggesting some easing in the downward trend.

The research centre nevertheless warned that external economic and geopolitical conditions continue to weigh on Cyprus’ short-term economic outlook.

Sentiment, Energy Costs And Tourism Weigh On The Index

According to the report, the annual decline was driven by weaker economic sentiment, higher Brent crude oil prices, lower temperature-adjusted electricity production and fewer tourist arrivals.

A key factor was the weighted Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI), which combines confidence measures for Cyprus and the euro area and remained below its June 2025 level.

Domestic Indicators Provide Support

Several domestic indicators helped offset part of the decline. Higher credit card spending, stronger retail sales and an increase in property sales contracts all contributed positively to the index.

Those gains indicate that consumer spending and property market activity remained relatively resilient despite a more challenging external environment.

The CCLEI is designed to signal turning points in the Cypriot business cycle by tracking a range of domestic and international indicators, including economic sentiment, tourism, property transactions, retail sales, electricity production and Brent crude oil prices.

Cyprus Property Deals Reach €286 Million Despite Second-Quarter Uncertainty

Cyprus’ high-end property market remained active in the first half of 2026, although geopolitical uncertainty may have weighed on investment activity during the second quarter.

€286.4 Million Across The 50 Largest Deals

Property transactions worth a combined €286.4 million ranked among Cyprus’ 50 highest-value deals completed between January and June, according to real estate analytics firm Ask Wire.

Examining the country’s biggest sales across all districts, the report found that the 10 largest transactions alone accounted for €161.7 million, highlighting the concentration of activity at the upper end of the market.

Limassol Extends Its Lead

A €55 million sale involving a building and adjoining fields in Moni was the largest property transaction recorded during the period.

Six of the country’s 10 biggest deals took place in Limassol, with a combined value of €117.2 million. Paphos followed with three transactions worth €35.5 million, while Larnaca recorded one €9 million sale.

Across the broader ranking, Limassol’s 10 largest transactions reached €148.2 million, representing 51.7% of the total value of the top 50 deals. Paphos followed with €68.8 million (24%), while Nicosia recorded €26.7 million. Famagusta narrowly surpassed Larnaca, reaching €21.4 million compared with €21.2 million.

Land Continues To Drive High-Value Deals

According to Ask Wire CEO Pavlos Loizou, land acquisitions continue to dominate Cyprus’ largest property transactions.

“The land market dominates the list of the 10 highest-value property transactions, with seven sales involving fields and plots.”

Many of those sites are expected to be developed into luxury residential and hospitality projects, he added.

Office Demand Remains Strong

Growing demand for office space also reflects the expansion of international companies establishing operations in Cyprus, Loizou said.

“We continue to observe growing demand for office properties, reflecting the expansion of the new ecosystem of international companies that has been establishing itself in Cyprus in recent years.”

Eight of the 10 largest transactions were completed during the first quarter of 2026, with activity slowing in the following three months.

Loizou said the slowdown may reflect investor caution linked to the conflict in the Middle East, which appears to have influenced investment decisions during the second quarter.

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