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Cyprus Inflation Eases Slightly To 2.5% In January

Inflation in Cyprus stood at 2.5% in January, down marginally from 2.6% in December, according to the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat). The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped by 1.58 points to 116.73, reflecting a slowdown in price growth.

Agricultural Goods saw the most volatility, rising 10% year-on-year but declining 6.1% from December. Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages increased by 4.8% annually, while Restaurants and Hotels rose by 4.1%. Clothing and Footwear recorded the steepest monthly drop, falling 13%.

The biggest contributors to annual inflation were Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+1.07) and Transport (+0.56), while Clothing and Footwear (-0.18) exerted downward pressure. Month-on-month, Clothing and Footwear (-1.00) had the most significant deflationary effect.

Catering Services (+0.48), Fresh Vegetables (+0.36), and Meat (+0.24) were key drivers of price increases, while Clothing Items (-0.81) pulled inflation down. Petroleum Products had the largest positive monthly impact (+0.15), while Clothing Items saw the biggest decline (-0.71).

Cyprus Fuel Prices Expected To Rise As Oil Prices Increase

International Oil Market Dynamics

Fuel prices in Cyprus are expected to rise gradually in the coming weeks as international crude oil prices continue to increase. Recent reports show that heavy crude prices moved from about $93 per barrel to a peak of $117 before settling near $107, reflecting continued volatility in global energy markets.

Projected Retail Impact And Stage-Wise Price Adjustments

Sabbas Prokopiou, president of the Pan-Cypriot Fuel Stations Owners Association, said these international price movements are expected to gradually affect retail fuel prices in Cyprus. A recent increase of around two cents per litre has already been recorded. Additional price adjustments may follow in the coming weeks as international fuel costs pass through the supply chain and reach the retail market.

Geopolitical Tensions And Market Reactions

Geopolitical developments have also contributed to recent price movements. Concerns about potential regional conflict initially pushed crude prices higher. In a single trading session, prices reportedly rose by about $10 per barrel. More recently, attacks targeting oil storage facilities have added further pressure to international crude markets.

Strategic Outlook And Industry Insights

Prokopiou said further increases in fuel prices remain possible depending on developments in international oil markets. However, he noted that estimating the scale of retail price adjustments remains difficult during periods of geopolitical uncertainty. Similar market patterns were observed in 2022 following the start of the Russia-Ukraine war, when international crude prices rose sharply.

Market participants, including fuel importers and the Consumer Protection Service of the Ministry of Energy, Commerce and Industry, continue to monitor developments in international energy markets.

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