Cyprus Inflation Dips To -0.3 Percent In October 2025: An Analysis Of Deflation Trends

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

November 7, 2025

The Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat) reported that the inflation rate for October 2025 fell to -0.3 percent, indicating a period of mild deflation where consumer prices were slightly lower compared to October 2024. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) experienced a modest month-to-month increase, rising from 117.71 to 118.25 units since September 2025.

Sectoral Performance And Price Adjustments

This deflationary trend reflects a nuanced reshaping of the economy. Notably, the services sector led in positive change with a 3 percent increase over the past year, underscoring robust activity in industries such as restaurants and hotels, which also saw a significant CPI contribution of 0.48 units year-on-year. Conversely, sectors such as electricity and agricultural products recorded declines of 7.5 percent and 2.6 percent respectively, with electricity exhibiting the largest monthly change by 1.7 percent compared to September 2025.

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Detailed Analysis Of Category Shifts

The report highlights important variations across economic categories. Compared with October 2024, clothing and footwear prices declined by 6.7 percent, while food and non-alcoholic beverages decreased by 2.1 percent. In contrast, sectors including restaurants and hotels and education saw increases of 4.4 percent and 3.5 percent respectively. A comparison with September 2025 reveals an additional 3.6 percent increase in clothing and footwear, alongside a 1.2 percent uptick in education.

Impact On The Consumer Price Index

Analyzing the CPI components, the year-on-year impact in October 2025 was driven positively by categories such as restaurants and hotels (0.48 units) and education (0.16 units). However, the largest negative impacts were observed in food and non-alcoholic beverages (-0.52 units) and clothing and footwear (-0.51 units). On a month-to-month basis, clothing and footwear exhibited the highest impact at 0.25 units, while housing and related utilities also contributed meaningfully. Specific items, such as catering services, positively influenced the index by 0.50 units, whereas both clothing and electricity detracted by 0.43 units each, with fresh fruit marking the most significant single-item negative shift (0.15 units).

Conclusion

This detailed CPI analysis by Cystat underscores how varied sectoral dynamics are shaping the Cypriot economy. The slight deflation alongside divergent pricing trends across key categories provides critical insights for policymakers, investors, and businesses as they navigate a complex economic landscape.

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Cyprus Records EU’s Largest Quarterly Drop In Public Debt Ratio

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

October 21, 2026

Cyprus recorded the European Union’s largest quarterly decline in government debt as a share of GDP in the second quarter of 2026, as its debt burden continued to fall while borrowing levels across the bloc increased, according to Eurostat.

Debt Ratio Falls To 48.5%

Cyprus’ government debt fell to 48.5% of GDP at the end of June, down from 51.5% in the first quarter and 58.1% a year earlier.

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In absolute terms, debt declined to €19.2 billion from €20.03 billion at the end of March and €21.7 billion in June 2025. Cyprus also recorded the EU’s second-largest annual reduction in its debt-to-GDP ratio, after Greece.

Cyprus Outpaces Other EU Member States

Greece recorded the largest annual decline, at 11.2 percentage points, followed by Cyprus at 9.5 points, Slovenia at 4.5 points and Portugal at 3.4 points.

Quarterly, Cyprus led the bloc, ahead of Greece, where the ratio fell by 2.7 percentage points, and Hungary, which recorded a 2-point decline.

By contrast, the EU’s debt-to-GDP ratio increased to 82.9% in the second quarter from 82.5% in the first. The euro area ratio rose to 88.8% from 88.4%. Compared with the same period in 2025, the figures increased from 81.4% and 87.3%, respectively.

Debt Levels Remain High Across Europe

Greece had the EU’s highest debt ratio at the end of June, at 140.8% of GDP, followed by Italy at 139.9%, France at 119.1%, Belgium at 110.2% and Spain at 101.4%.

The lowest ratios were recorded in Estonia at 26.1%, Denmark at 27.1%, Luxembourg at 28.2% and Bulgaria at 28.7%.

Compared with the first quarter, debt ratios rose in 15 member states and fell in 10, while the Netherlands and Spain remained unchanged. Poland recorded the largest quarterly increase, at 3 percentage points.

Cyprus Maintains A Government Surplus

Cyprus’ debt reduction comes alongside a strong fiscal position. In 2025, the country recorded a government surplus of 3.6% of GDP, the highest in the EU, according to audited figures published by Cystat and Eurostat. Government debt at the end of that year stood at €20.05 billion, or 52.3% of GDP.

However, Cyprus’ seasonally adjusted government surplus narrowed to 3.3% of GDP in the second quarter of 2026, from 3.8% in the first quarter.

The figures come from Eurostat’s latest government deficit and debt release, based on member states’ second 2026 notifications under the EU’s Excessive Deficit Procedure and compiled under the European System of Accounts 2010 methodology.

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