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Cyprus Industrial Production Index Sees Robust Surge In November 2025

Data released by the Cyprus Statistical Service confirms a notable lift in industrial activity. In November 2025, the Cyprus Industrial Production Index reached 111.2 units—a striking 8.5% increase from the same month in the previous year—underscoring a dynamic rebound in the nation’s economy.

Overview Of Growth Trends

The index, anchored to the 2021 base year (set at 100 units), has driven an overall annual uptick of 3.7% for the period spanning January 1 to November 30, 2025, compared to 2024. Such a trend is reflective of broader recovery measures and sustained confidence in core industrial sectors.

Manufacturing Sector Drives Expansion

At the forefront of this progress is the manufacturing sector, which reported a robust 9.6% rise relative to November 2024. Notably, the production of other non-metallic mineral products surged dramatically by 83.6%, and combined advancements in furniture manufacturing, machinery repair, and installation contributed a 10.3% increase. Additionally, wood processing and basic metals manufacturing displayed strong gains of 9.3% and 8.9% respectively, further solidifying industrial resilience.

Sectoral Analysis And Key Contributors

In parallel, the mining and quarrying segment experienced a steep climb of 32.5%, while the water supply and materials recovery sector posted a 4.7% increase. However, not all areas shared this upward momentum; the electricity supply sector registered a modest decline of 0.9% in November, highlighting sector-specific challenges even amidst an overall positive industrial landscape.

Year-To-Date Trends And Future Outlook

From January through November 2025, the manufacturing segment—particularly the production of non-metallic mineral products—remained the standout, with an impressive annual increase of 13.3%. Other significant year-to-date contributors include basic metals and fabricated metal products at 8.7% and wood and cork products at 8.6%. Conversely, the manufacturing of paper products fell by 10.3%, and the textiles, wearing apparel, and leather products sector declined by 5.4%, with the electricity supply industry dropping by 1.8% compared to the previous year.

This comprehensive data underscores the vital role that diversified industrial activities play in shaping Cyprus’s economic landscape. As these sectors continue to evolve, the measured shifts in production not only serve as a barometer for current performance but also offer key insights for strategic decision-making in a globally competitive market.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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